Created Fri 7th Aug 3:26am PST by 
scary
scary What will be the outcome of News Corp's pay for news website move?
Background: News Corporation have announced plans to charge for all their newspaper websites: http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2009/aug/06/rupert-murdoch-website-charges
It's an interesting and controversial move from the company who reported a $2 billion loss in 2008/9 but will it happen? What will have situation by the end of 2010?
For ease of settlement this question will concentrate on 7 of their sites/newspapers:
News of The World (UK)
The Sun (UK)
The Times (UK)
The Sunday Times (UK)
(the two Times sites are now combined but are being seperated)
New York Post (US)
Daily/Sunday Telegraph (Australia)
Herald Sun (Australia)
Links to their websites here: http://www.newscorp.com/operations/newspapers.html
It's an interesting and controversial move from the company who reported a $2 billion loss in 2008/9 but will it happen? What will have situation by the end of 2010?
For ease of settlement this question will concentrate on 7 of their sites/newspapers:
News of The World (UK)
The Sun (UK)
The Times (UK)
The Sunday Times (UK)
(the two Times sites are now combined but are being seperated)
New York Post (US)
Daily/Sunday Telegraph (Australia)
Herald Sun (Australia)
Links to their websites here: http://www.newscorp.com/operations/newspapers.html
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| All websites are pay |
| ||||
| Pay idea is ditched and all remain free |
| ||||
| 1-3 of the sites remain free |
| ||||
| 3-6 of the sites remain free |
| ||||
| At least 1 goes pay and then reverts back to free |
|
Question suspends in 1 year
- Activity: H$3,490 |
- Predictions: 10 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Tue 7th Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: All websites are pay: 20%, Pay idea is ditched and all remain free: 20%, 1-3 of the sites remain free: 20%, 3-6 of the sites remain free: 20%, At least 1 goes pay and then reverts back to free: 20%
Action history:
Created Fri 7th Aug 3:26am PST by scary
scary 
Suspend date: Tue 7th Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (10)
pauliharman
predicted At least 1 goes pay and then reverts back to free (H$100 at 12%)
daddeoh
travellingjake
predicted 1-3 of the sites remain free (H$50 at 16%)
predicted 1-3 of the sites remain free (H$100 at 16%)Comments (0)
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score: 10
Poynter Institute 3 weeks ago
score: 10
score: 10
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