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When will the next Canadian Federal Election be held?

Background: The Conservative party currently has minority control of parliament. Which of the following periods will the next election fall within?

(My initial guesses are based on intuition, its very hard to tell right now.)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Aug-Oct 2009
4%
Nov 2009 - Jan 2010
9%
Feb - March 2010
8%
April - May 2010
10%
June - July 2010
9%
August - Sept 2010
5%
Oct - Dec 2010
24%
After Dec 2010
33%
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Aug-Oct 2009: 10%, Nov 2009 - Jan 2010: 10%, Feb - March 2010: 20%, April - May 2010: 20%, June - July 2010 : 20%, August - Sept 2010: 10%, Oct - Dec 2010: 8%, After Dec 2010: 2%

Action history:

Created Fri 7th Aug 11:34pm PST by ratel

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

Predictions (16)

3 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted Oct - Dec 2010 (H$500 at 19%)
6 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted After Dec 2010 (H$1,111 at 27%)
6 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted After Dec 2010 (H$1,000 at 7%)
6 weeks ago
mork[Power User] predicted Oct - Dec 2010 (H$1,000 at 13%)
9 weeks ago
valornhonor predicted Nov 2009 - Jan 2010 (H$25 at 18%)

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