Created Sun 9th Aug 10:32am PST by 
rogerkni
rogerkni When's the Next 300-Point one-day Drop or Rise on the Dow?
Background: Such wide swings were common in 2008, but have been rare in the past three months, as volatility has declined.
We're looking at a one-day change from the previous close to that day's close of 300.00 points or more, up or down.
This question may temporarly suspend one hour before closing if it appears to be occuring, so as not to allow players to jump on a 'sure thing" or make plays after the close of the market on such a day.
We're looking at a one-day change from the previous close to that day's close of 300.00 points or more, up or down.
This question may temporarly suspend one hour before closing if it appears to be occuring, so as not to allow players to jump on a 'sure thing" or make plays after the close of the market on such a day.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| 3Q 2009 |
| ||||
| 4Q 2009 |
| ||||
| Not by 1/1/2010 |
|
Question suspends in 4 weeks
- Activity: H$400,355 |
- Predictions: 1206 |
Comments: 12
Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 12:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: 3Q 2009: 30%, 4Q 2009: 30%, Not by 1/1/2010: 40%
Action history:
Created Sun 9th Aug 10:32am PST by rogerkni
rogerkni
Changed Question text Mon 10th Aug 2:36am PST by 
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: ... 's the Next 300-Point one-day Drop or Rise on the
bayoubear: ... 's the Next 300-Point one-day Drop or Rise on the
Changed Description Mon 10th Aug 2:36am PST by bayoubear: show details
bayoubear: show details ... months, as volatility has declined. <br/> <br/> We're looking at a one-day change from the previous close to that day's close of 300.00 points or more, up or down. <br/> <br/> This question may temporarly suspend one hour before closing if it appears to be occuring, so as not to allow players to jump on a 'sure thing" or make plays after the close of the market on such a day. <br/>
Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 12:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (1206)
badgersfan
predicted 4Q 2009 (H$100 at 22%)
frogchop
predicted 4Q 2009 (H$250 at 19%)
cjcs03
predicted Not by 1/1/2010 (H$100 at 83%)Comments (12)
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Related Tags
http://www.hubdub.com/m48439/Whens_the_next_500_point_drop_on_the_DOW
LONDON (Reuters) - Equity markets across the globe tumbled as doubts grew about the pace of economic recovery and the week's major data on U.S. jobs loomed large.
European shares hit a four-week low, following steep losses in Asia and on Wall Street overnight.
Oct. 30, 2009, 4:08 p.m. EDT ·
Dow industrials drop 249.85 points to 9,712.73
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- An options index known as Wall Street's fear gauge surged Friday to a nearly four-month high, as a fresh round of worries about the sustainability of recent months' rally surfaced.
The CBOE's Volatility Index gained 24% to 30.69 by the exchange's close, its highest closing level since July 8.
For the index, it was the biggest percentage gain since late 2008, near the peak of the financial crisis.
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