Created Wed 12th Aug 7:10pm PST by 
corbally
corbally 
Which number will be least chosen before the suspend date?
Background: I had the question the other way around but it was too easy to game, this way around might be different.
Editor's clarification: I understand the question creator's intention is to settle on the option that has the lowest percentage on the suspension date. That is the way it will be settled.
Editor's clarification: I understand the question creator's intention is to settle on the option that has the lowest percentage on the suspension date. That is the way it will be settled.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| 0 (Who wants zero?) |
| ||||
| 1 (not very lucky but not unlucky) |
| ||||
| 2 (Good things come in pairs) |
| ||||
| 3 (Is a magic number) |
| ||||
| 4 (considered unlucky) |
| ||||
| 5 (water, wood, fire, earth and metal) |
| ||||
| 6 (represents happiness) |
| ||||
| 7 (luckiest number in the West) |
| ||||
| 8 (To prosper or for wealth) |
| ||||
| 9 (longlasting) |
|
Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$650,190 |
- Predictions: 5513 |
Comments: 15
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: 0 (Who wants zero?): 10%, 1 (not very lucky but not unlucky): 10%, 2 (Good things come in pairs): 10%, 3 (Is a magic number): 10%, 4 (considered unlucky): 10%, 5 (water, wood, fire, earth and metal): 10%, 6 (represents happiness): 10%, 7 (luckiest number in the West): 10%, 8 (To prosper or for wealth): 10%, 9 (longlasting): 10%
Action history:
Created Wed 12th Aug 7:10pm PST by corbally
corbally
Changed Description Thu 13th Aug 4:55am PST by 
nigeleccles![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
nigeleccles: show details ... way around might be different.<br/> <br/> Editor's clarification: I understand the question creator's intention is to settle on the option that has the lowest percentage on the suspension date. That is the way it will be settled.
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (5513)
pitchedoutsideleg
predicted 4 (considered unlucky) (H$200 at 8%)
anifersgirl
predicted 9 (longlasting) (H$79 at 7%)
cheesenips
predicted 0 (Who wants zero?) (H$50 at 9%)Comments (15)
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Related News 
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
score: 10
score: 10
score: 10
score: 10
Related Tags
1) total number of bets on a number, eg, which number has the least number of predictions
2) number of distinct users betting on a number, eg. which number has the least number of users predicting
3) amount of HD$, eg. which number has the least amount of HD$ on it
http://www.hubdub.com/e/Topic/Self_referential_question__gameable_586
that's
4) market percentage, eg. as shown on the option
Do one of these with a closing in a week so we don't have to wait four months.
But I agree with tgallag, it should suspend a lot earlier to make it more exciting!!
Will that include decimal places? If not, the chance of two or more numbers sharing the tag of 'lowest' seems pretty high...
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