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Will the Rio Tinto employees be freed by December?

Background: 4 Rio Tinto employers were arrested by Chinese police recenently on grounds of bribery.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
48%
No
52%
Question suspends in 3 years

Suspend date: Thu 27th Dec 2012 3:59pm PST (3 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Wed 12th Aug 8:01pm PST by ulius

Suspend date: Thu 27th Dec 2012 3:59pm PST (3 years to go) details

 

Predictions (2)

14 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted No (H$20 at 52%)
14 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$3,000 at 44%)

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