2009 Hurricanes - Which hurricane will hit farthest north?
Background: Which hurricane hitting the continental United States will make landfall at the farthest point north before the December 1 settlement date? For this question, only storms of hurricane force reaching the continental US will be considered.
For example, if Ana and Bill are the only hurricanes to hit the continental US, and Ana makes landfall on the Florida mainland while Bill hits South Carolina, Bill wins.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
2009 Hurricanes - Which hurricane will hit farthest north?
Ana or Bill
Claudette or Danny
Erika or Fred
Grace or Henri
Ida or Joaquin
Kate or Larry
Mindy or Nicholas
Odette or Peter
Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, or Wanda
Other
Zoom out
Forecast history %
|
| Ana or Bill | |
|
| Claudette or Danny | |
|
| Erika or Fred | |
|
| Grace or Henri | |
|
| Ida or Joaquin | |
|
| Kate or Larry | |
|
| Mindy or Nicholas | |
|
| Odette or Peter | |
|
| Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, or Wanda | |
|
| Other | |
Settled as Other on Tue 8th Dec 2009 3:30am PST
Suspend date: Tue 1st Dec 2009 7:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 8th Dec 2009 3:30am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Dec 2009 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Ana or Bill: 11%, Claudette or Danny: 11%, Erika or Fred: 11%, Grace or Henri: 11%, Ida or Joaquin: 11%, Kate or Larry: 11%, Mindy or Nicholas: 11%, Odette or Peter: 11%, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, or Wanda: 7%, Other: 5%
Action history:
Suspended Tue 1st Dec 2009 7:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Tue 1st Dec 2009 7:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 8th Dec 2009 3:30am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 1st Dec 2009 7:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (181)
16 weeks ago
dingoh
predicted
Other (H$2 at 97%)
17 weeks ago
zargonddg
predicted
Other (H$5,000 at 94%)
17 weeks ago
stampee1
predicted
Ida or Joaquin (H$100 at 8%)
18 weeks ago
stampee1
predicted
Ida or Joaquin (H$100 at 15%)
18 weeks ago
stampee1
predicted
Ida or Joaquin (H$629 at 7%)
Comments (11)
http://www.pewclimate.org/global-warming-basics/facts_and_figures/impacts/storms.cfm
I haven't seen any information about whether late season storms tend to travel further north. Anyone know anything about this?
The definition of "landfall" is the point where the eye of the hurricane makes contact with the coast.
to get a difinte opinon you can flag the question or email the admin. i think sqlman is the admin. jim@hubdub.com is his email addy.
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