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Will Usain Bolt break the illusive 9.4 seconds barrier in the 100m in 2009?

Background: Triple Olympic champion Usain Bolt is targeting the 9.4 second barrier for the 100m after setting a new world record at the World Championships where he posted a time of 9.58 seconds in Berlin.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
9%
No
91%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 4pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 19%

Action history:

Created Tue 18th Aug 11:18am PST by mattbest

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 4pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (15)

5 weeks ago
thebot predicted Yes (H$20 at 7%)
7 weeks ago
casehandler predicted Yes (H$20 at 7%)
10 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$50 at 93%)
12 weeks ago
johnnyd predicted Yes (H$50 at 9%)
13 weeks ago
macartl predicted No (H$100 at 91%)

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