carnacthemagnificent
Who will win? Brett Favre or the hurricane?
Kiln is still a thriving community, unscathed by any 2009 tropical cyclones...
Background:
This market is a perfect storm (sorry, for the bad pun) of those two topics.
Brett Favre's hometown, Kiln, Mississippi lies on the Gulf of Mexico. The hometown of the serial retiree was damaged by Hurricane Katrina.
What are the odds that Mother Nature will sack Favre again in 2009?
Will any homes, businesses, or public buildings in Kiln, MS suffer hurricane related damage before December 1, 2009?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| Yes, a hurricane damages Kiln, Mississippi |
| |||
| No, Kiln, Mississippi survives another season |
|
- Activity: H$16,038 |
- Predictions: 10 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 2009 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 2nd Dec 2009 8:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 30th Nov 2009 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes, a hurricane damages Kiln, Mississippi: 1%, No, Kiln, Mississippi survives another season: 99%
Action history:
carnacthemagnificent 
mungo10: No hurricane 
sqlman![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Kiln is still a thriving community, unscathed by any 2009 tropical cyclones... 
Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 2009 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 2nd Dec 2009 8:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 30th Nov 2009 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (10)
swamee
predicted No, Kiln, Mississippi survives another season (H$600 at 97%)
tuff_sledding![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted No, Kiln, Mississippi survives another season (H$3,000 at 95%)
predicted No, Kiln, Mississippi survives another season (H$1,565 at 90%)
philculp
predicted Yes, a hurricane damages Kiln, Mississippi (H$50 at 11%)
cici
predicted Yes, a hurricane damages Kiln, Mississippi (H$100 at 11%)Comments (1)
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