Created Mon 24th Aug 5:14am PST by 
eliminati
eliminati 
Which one of these video games will be released first?
Background: This is US release, not release date. (If you ever followed video games, the difference between the two is immense). This will settle the day the first game on the list is *actually* released to the public for purchase.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Grand Theft Auto V |
| ||||
| Super Mario Galaxy 2 |
| ||||
| Diablo III |
| ||||
| Civilization V |
| ||||
| Half Life 2: Episode III |
| ||||
| Doom 4 |
| ||||
| Guild Wars 2 |
| ||||
| Tie or no game released by end of 2010. |
|
Question suspends in 1 year
- Activity: H$2,236 |
- Predictions: 16 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Fri 24th Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods: Grand Theft Auto V: 5%, Super Mario Galaxy 2: 25%, Diablo III: 20%, Civilization V: 5%, Half Life 2: Episode III: 5%, Doom 4: 5%, Guild Wars 2: 25%, Tie or no game released by end of 2010.: 10%
Action history:
Created Mon 24th Aug 5:14am PST by eliminati
eliminati 
Suspend date: Fri 24th Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (16)
hannahwins
predicted Super Mario Galaxy 2 (H$100 at 35%)
czartim
predicted Guild Wars 2 (H$13 at 21%)
neopugg
wallysparks
predicted Super Mario Galaxy 2 (H$1,000 at 27%)Comments (1)
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