Created Wed 26th Aug 4am PST by
ojw15
What will the next change to the UK interest rate be?
Background: The Bank of England base rate in the UK hasn't changed from 0.5% for months now, but it has to sooner or later - when it finally does, regardless of when that is, what will the change be?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
In the unlikely event that the Bank breaks with previous practice and increases the rate by an amount that isn't a multiple of 0.25, the question will settle as the nearest option to the actual change.
What will the next change to the UK interest rate be?
Interest rate is lowered
Interest rate is raised by 0.25%
Interest rate is raised by 0.5%
Interest rate is raised by 0.75%
Interest rate is raised by 1%
Interest rate is raised by 1.25-2%
Interest rate is raised by more than 2%
Interest rate isn't changed before suspension
Forecast history %
|
| Interest rate is lowered | | |
|
| Interest rate is raised by 0.25% | | |
|
| Interest rate is raised by 0.5% | | |
|
| Interest rate is raised by 0.75% | | |
|
| Interest rate is raised by 1% | | |
|
| Interest rate is raised by 1.25-2% | | |
|
| Interest rate is raised by more than 2% | | |
|
| Interest rate isn't changed before suspension | | |
Question suspends in 1 year
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Interest rate is lowered: 5%, Interest rate is raised by 0.25%: 30%, Interest rate is raised by 0.5%: 30%, Interest rate is raised by 0.75%: 10%, Interest rate is raised by 1%: 10%, Interest rate is raised by 1.25-2%: 5%, Interest rate is raised by more than 2%: 5%, Interest rate isn't changed before suspension: 5%
Action history:
Created Wed 26th Aug 4am PST by
ojw15
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go) details 
Predictions (25)
5 days ago
oasisman predicted
Interest rate is raised by 0.5% (H$50 at 34%)
5 days ago
crills
predicted
Interest rate is raised by 0.5% (H$100 at 33%)
6 days ago
ojw15 predicted
Interest rate is raised by 0.5% (H$1,000 at 24%)
4 weeks ago
mdad8200
predicted
Interest rate is raised by 0.25% (H$50 at 61%)
4 weeks ago
mdad8200 predicted
Interest rate is raised by 0.5% (H$50 at 14%)
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