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Will the UK have left the EU by the end of 2012?

Background: Some say the end of 2009. 2010? How about 2011? No, how about 2012! Yes- The UK will have LEFT the EU by the end of 2012.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
16%
No
84%
Question suspends in 3 years

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 7:59am PST (3 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Thu 27th Aug 5:33am PST by charliemadman

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 7:59am PST (3 years to go) details

 

Predictions (9)

3 weeks ago
easyjobrob predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
7 weeks ago
red_pill predicted No (H$20 at 84%)
7 weeks ago
shafika360 predicted No (H$20 at 84%)
7 weeks ago
aspeckle predicted No (H$50 at 83%)
8 weeks ago
cluster0ne predicted No (H$100 at 83%)

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