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Next country to change right of way: which way do they go?
Background: During the early morning of September 7, drivers in Samoa will stop driving on the other side of the road. Drivers have driven on the right since the early 1900's.
Samoa will switch to left-hand traffic to make it easier for poor residents to obtain cheap cars. Its two biggest neighbors, Australia and New Zealand, drive on the left. The switch was unveiled in 2007 by prime minister Tuilaepa Sailele Malielegaoi.
The switch has had considerable opposition. Opponents fear that driving will be more dangerous. Also, buses will need to be modified so that doors are on the left side.
The last country to change the right of way was Ghana in 1974. However, Samoa will be the first known country to change from right-side driving to left-side driving. Approximately 30% of the world's population drives on the left.
Additional information:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125086852452149513.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right-_and_left-hand_traffic
Samoa will switch to left-hand traffic to make it easier for poor residents to obtain cheap cars. Its two biggest neighbors, Australia and New Zealand, drive on the left. The switch was unveiled in 2007 by prime minister Tuilaepa Sailele Malielegaoi.
The switch has had considerable opposition. Opponents fear that driving will be more dangerous. Also, buses will need to be modified so that doors are on the left side.
The last country to change the right of way was Ghana in 1974. However, Samoa will be the first known country to change from right-side driving to left-side driving. Approximately 30% of the world's population drives on the left.
Additional information:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125086852452149513.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right-_and_left-hand_traffic
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Question will not settle based on the expected change in Samoa on August 7, 2009. Suspension date will be postponed if no news has occurred.
Forecast history %
| drove on left, change to driving on right |
| ||||
| drove on right, change to driving on left |
|
Question suspends in 9 years
- Activity: H$1,189 |
- Predictions: 5 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Sat 31st Aug 2019 11:59pm PST (9 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: drove on left, change to driving on right: 30%, drove on right, change to driving on left: 70%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sat 31st Aug 2019 11:59pm PST (9 years to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (5)
bernardo
predicted drove on left, change to driving on right (H$100 at 44%)
matt42
predicted drove on left, change to driving on right (H$20 at 43%)
kruijs
predicted drove on left, change to driving on right (H$1,000 at 36%)
predicted drove on left, change to driving on right (H$20 at 30%)Comments (3)
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Unfortunately, that is not accounted for.
After all, the last change, as stated in the background was 35 years ago. I for one am not interested in markets that have no finite ending.
Of course, most of Burma's actions do not make any sense to me.
I'd still wager on neither within the next 10 years, if that option existed.
good luck,
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