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Will scientists bring non-living matter to life by the end of the year?

Background: Jack Szostak, a molecular biologist at Harvard Medical School, is building simple cell models that could form a self-replicating, evolving system. Life. http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2008/09/biologists-on-t/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
6%
No
94%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 1st Sep 2:17pm PST by mariegriffiths

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (12)

3 weeks ago
firechild predicted No (H$5,000 at 91%)
3 weeks ago
corbelle predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
4 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$100 at 10%)
4 weeks ago
sdrawkcabton88 predicted No (H$300 at 93%)
5 weeks ago
carpet predicted No (H$1,000 at 93%)

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