Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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How many Hubdubbers are Guru and better on November 1st?

Settled as 391 to 400

393

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=20

Background:

Background: All information on HubDub star names is intended to be “and better” e.g. orlin is part of the 381 Gurus and better.

At the moment there are:
9019 Novices with HD$ 1.025
7021 Apprentices with HD$ 1.100
5634 Whiz-kids with HD$ 1.200
4194 Predictors with HD$ 1.400
2579 Players with HD$ 2.000
1698 Pros with HD$ 3.000
1142 Super-Pros with HD$ 5.000
838 Experts = 9 Star = H$ 7,500
682 Geniuses = 10 Star = H$ 10,000
520 Legends = 11 Star = H$ 15,000
381 Gurus = 12 Star =h at least H$ 25,000


Suspends three days prior.

Settlement details:As per Net worth Leaderboard on November 01st, 2009 at 00:05 CET
(381-400) http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=20&type=3&when=
add 1 to "page=" for every 20 more you need to watch e.g. 401-420 is page=21

 
Forecast history %
380 and less
1%
381 to 390
3%
391 to 400
74%
401 to 410
13%
411 to 420
2%
421 to 430
1%
431 to 440
1%
441 to 450
1%
451 to 460
1%
461 and more
1%
Settled as 391 to 400 on Sun 1st Nov 2:30pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 1st Nov 2:30pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 380 and less: 5%, 381 to 390: 10%, 391 to 400: 10%, 401 to 410: 10%, 411 to 420: 15%, 421 to 430: 10%, 431 to 440: 10%, 441 to 450: 10%, 451 to 460: 10%, 461 and more: 10%

Action history:

Created Sun 6th Sep 3:01pm PST by hfl13
Suspended Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 1st Nov 8:19am PST by hfl13: 393 8:17 PST

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=20
Settled as '391 to 400' Sun 1st Nov 2:30pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: 393

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=20

Suspend date: Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 1st Nov 2:30pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (31)

3 weeks ago
royaaa1 predicted 391 to 400 (H$251 at 74%)
3 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted 401 to 410 (H$500 at 9%)
5 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 391 to 400 (H$800 at 40%)
5 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 391 to 400 (H$600 at 27%)
6 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 391 to 400 (H$200 at 21%)

Comments (3)

  1 hfl13
385
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 hfl13
389 (+8)
posted 4 weeks ago
  3 hfl13
394 (+13)
posted 3 weeks ago

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