Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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How many Hubdubbers are Predictor and better on November 1st?

Settled as 4251 to 4300

4289

Background:

Background: All information on HubDub star names is intended to be “and better” e.g. orlin is part of the 4194 Predictors and better.

At the moment there are:
9019 Novices with HD$ 1.025
7021 Apprentices with HD$ 1.100
5634 Whiz-kids with HD$ 1.200
4194 Predictors with HD$ 1.400
2579 Players with HD$ 2.000
1698 Pros with HD$ 3.000
1142 Super-Pros with HD$ 5.000
838 Experts = 9 Star = H$ 7,500
682 Geniuses = 10 Star = H$ 10,000
520 Legends = 11 Star = H$ 15,000
381 Gurus = 12 Star =h at least H$ 25,000
What will happen next?

Suspends three days prior.

Settlement details:As per Net worth Leaderboard on November 1st, 2009 at 00:05 CET
(4181-4200) http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=210
add 1 to "page=" for every 20 more you need to watch e.g. 4201-4220 is page=211

 
Forecast history %
4200 and less
0%
4201 to 4250
1%
4251 to 4300
81%
4301 to 4350
12%
4351 to 4400
1%
4401 to 4450
1%
4451 to 4500
1%
4501 to 4550
1%
4551 to 4600
1%
4601 and more
1%
Settled as 4251 to 4300 on Mon 2nd Nov 6:20am PST

Suspend date: Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 2nd Nov 6:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 4200 and less: 1%, 4201 to 4250: 11%, 4251 to 4300: 11%, 4301 to 4350: 11%, 4351 to 4400: 12%, 4401 to 4450: 12%, 4451 to 4500: 11%, 4501 to 4550: 11%, 4551 to 4600: 11%, 4601 and more: 9%

Action history:

Created Sun 6th Sep 3:09pm PST by hfl13
Suspended Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 2nd Nov 5:15am PST by hfl13: 4289 today
Settled as '4251 to 4300' Mon 2nd Nov 6:20am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: 4289

Suspend date: Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 2nd Nov 6:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (29)

3 weeks ago
swamee predicted 4251 to 4300 (H$100 at 81%)
4 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 4301 to 4350 (H$400 at 18%)
5 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 4301 to 4350 (H$500 at 20%)
5 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 4251 to 4300 (H$600 at 55%)
5 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 4301 to 4350 (H$600 at 12%)

Comments (2)

  1 hfl13
4262 (+68)
posted 4 weeks ago
  2 hfl13
4272 (+78)
posted 3 weeks ago

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