Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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How many Hubdubbers are Super-Pro and better on November 1st?

Settled as 1181 to 1200

1186

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=60

Background:

Background: All information on HubDub star names is intended to be “and better” e.g. orlin is part of the 1142 Super-Pros and better.

At the moment there are:
9019 Novices with HD$ 1.025
7021 Apprentices with HD$ 1.100
5634 Whiz-kids with HD$ 1.200
4194 Predictors with HD$ 1.400
2579 Players with HD$ 2.000
1698 Pros with HD$ 3.000
1142 Super-Pros with HD$ 5.000
838 Experts = 9 Star = H$ 7,500
682 Geniuses = 10 Star = H$ 10,000
520 Legends = 11 Star = H$ 15,000
381 Gurus = 12 Star =h at least H$ 25,000
What will happen next?

Suspends three days prior.

Settlement details:As per Net worth Leaderboard on November 1st, 2009 at 00:05 CET
(1141-1160) http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=58
add 1 to "page=" for every 20 more you need to watch e.g. 1181-1200 is page=60

 
Forecast history %
1140 and less
0%
1141 to 1160
1%
1161 to 1180
1%
1181 to 1200
47%
1201 to 1220
49%
1221 to 1240
1%
1241 to 1260
1%
1261 to 1280
1%
1281 to 1300
1%
1301 and more
1%
Settled as 1181 to 1200 on Sun 1st Nov 2:29pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 1st Nov 2:29pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1140 and less: 2%, 1141 to 1160: 10%, 1161 to 1180: 11%, 1181 to 1200: 11%, 1201 to 1220: 12%, 1221 to 1240: 12%, 1241 to 1260: 11%, 1261 to 1280: 11%, 1281 to 1300: 10%, 1301 and more: 10%

Action history:

Created Sun 6th Sep 3:37pm PST by hfl13
Suspended Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 31st Oct 8:24pm PST by bipedprimate: It is about 5 hours past the stated time of 00:05 Nov. 01 2009, and there are 1186 Super-Pro or better. This should settle as 1181-1200.
Settlement requested Sun 1st Nov 8:29am PST by hfl13: 1186 8:26 PST

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=60
Settled as '1181 to 1200' Sun 1st Nov 2:29pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: 1186

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=60

Suspend date: Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 1st Nov 2:29pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 28th Oct 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (47)

3 weeks ago
swamee predicted 1201 to 1220 (H$100 at 49%)
3 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted 1201 to 1220 (H$1,000 at 43%)
4 weeks ago
bipedprimate predicted 1201 to 1220 (H$50 at 34%)
4 weeks ago
bipedprimate predicted 1201 to 1220 (H$50 at 33%)
4 weeks ago
bipedprimate predicted 1201 to 1220 (H$50 at 33%)

Comments (3)

  1 hfl13
1171 (+29)
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 hfl13
1186(+44)
posted 4 weeks ago
  3 hfl13
1193 (+51)
posted 3 weeks ago

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