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Will Osama Bin Ladin be captured or killed before 2010?

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
6%
No
94%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 4:59am PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Sun 6th Sep 6:51pm PST by tocornal
Changed Suspend date Mon 7th Sep 4:15am PST by sqlman[Admin]: was: "2011-12-31 04:59:00"

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 4:59am PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (18)

2 weeks ago
tahmkat3d predicted Yes (H$50 at 6%)
2 weeks ago
nyharel predicted No (H$50 at 94%)
4 weeks ago
flamingo predicted Yes (H$50 at 6%)
9 weeks ago
amybubble predicted Yes (H$50 at 6%)
10 weeks ago
nyharel predicted No (H$20 at 89%)

Comments (1)

  1 sqlman[Admin]
Note that the suspend date has changed to be in agreement with the question.
posted 10 weeks ago

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