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Will Osama Bin Ladin be captured or killed before 2010?

Settled as No

Didn't happen...

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
3%
No
97%
Settled as No on Fri 1st Jan 11:37am PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 11:37am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Sun 6th Sep 2009 6:51pm PST by tocornal
Changed Suspend date Mon 7th Sep 2009 4:15am PST by sqlman[Admin]: was: "2011-12-31 04:59:00"
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 4:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 1st Jan 10:45am PST by elly: No sucg reports.
Settled as 'No' Fri 1st Jan 11:37am PST by sqlman[Admin]: Didn't happen...

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 11:37am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (27)

10 weeks ago
ghostbuster predicted No (H$27 at 97%)
14 weeks ago
oasisman predicted No (H$5,000 at 95%)
14 weeks ago
skyhawk predicted No (H$500 at 94%)
14 weeks ago
bethanypackham6 predicted No (H$100 at 94%)
14 weeks ago
aquaguy predicted Yes (H$20 at 6%)

Comments (1)

  1 sqlman[Admin]
Note that the suspend date has changed to be in agreement with the question.
posted 26 weeks ago

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