Created Mon 14th Sep 6:40am PST by

philculp Level 15, Seer (H$484,562)

Hubdub Quarterly Gain - Race to 1.25m H$

Settled as Orlin

Background: Nearing the end of the quarter here on Hubdub and the top 3 quarterly gain as of this market creation are:

Orlin - H$1,025,373
tuff_sledding H$1,017,715
bgrigor - H$1,003,396

Who, if anyone, will reach 1,250,000 overall quarterly gain first?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Orlin

93%

tuff_sledding

bgrigore

other

No one acheives 1,250,000 gain in Q3

Settled as Orlin on Fri 25th Sep 5:14am PST

Activity: H$38,746
Predictions: 65
Comments: 7

Suspend date: Wed 30th Sep 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 25th Sep 5:14am PST

Initial likelihoods: Orlin: 25%, tuff_sledding: 24%, bgrigore: 23%, other: 5%, No one acheives 1,250,000 gain in Q3: 23%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Sep 6:40am PST by

philculp Level 15, Seer (H$484,562)

Settlement requested Fri 25th Sep 4:02am PST by

mickeydaniel Level 16, Oracle (H$885,066)

: Please settle as Orlin. His 3rd quarter gain is 1,273,547 at 5:00 am PST this morning.

Settled as 'Orlin' Fri 25th Sep 5:14am PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

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Suspend date: Wed 30th Sep 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 25th Sep 5:14am PST details

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Predictions (65)

8 weeks ago

charlesf Level 15, Seer (H$299,308)

predicted Orlin (H$3,000 at 90%)

8 weeks ago

charlesf Level 15, Seer (H$299,308)

predicted Orlin (H$4,000 at 80%)

8 weeks ago

philculp Level 15, Seer (H$484,562)

predicted Orlin (H$500 at 70%)

8 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted Orlin (H$500 at 47%)

8 weeks ago

philculp Level 15, Seer (H$484,562)

predicted Orlin (H$1,000 at 38%)

Comments (7)

philculp Level 15, Seer (H$484,562)

I meant to include this and forgot. I chose 1.25m as the number because it seemed far enough out, yet not unachievable. Orlin current daily avg = $13856.39 (1025373 / 74). Pace to end Q3 = 1,247,075 (13856.39*90).

posted 9 weeks ago

bgrigore Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,729,275)

My target for this quarter is 1.1 million. As to 1.25, orlin can do it and so can tuff.
This is why I have put 500 on each three. On me just to hedge the other bets.

posted 9 weeks ago

cdrates

I'm gonna have to say nobody gets it.

posted 9 weeks ago

philculp Level 15, Seer (H$484,562)

Just over 2 days in and Orlin is up to 1,082,200 and bgrigore is following right behind with 1,081,144. Using the same formula as above; Orlins pace to end Q3 is now 1,281,552.

posted 9 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

pitty hubdub does not allow shorting - I'd short myself.
do yourself a favor, don't bet on me. I just got creamed on the gold question and the oil question looks a bit shaky right now-the big unrealized gain I had going there has evaporated...

posted 9 weeks ago

philculp Level 15, Seer (H$484,562)

orlin is only 31000 away from 1.25m

posted 8 weeks ago

bgrigore Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,729,275)

I've had some bad bets in the past days and increased the risk on other questions and it seems that 1.25 it's not easy for me at this point. Anyway 1.1 million would still be at hand for the end of Q3. I'm there but I hope it will hold.

posted 8 weeks ago