Created Mon 14th Sep 2009 5:33pm PST by

sdrawkcabton88 Level 10, Genius (H$13,685)

Will Twitter enter into the top ten sites in the US before March 1, 2010?

Settled as No

http://www.alexa.com/topsites/countries/US#

Background:

Background: Using Alexa Web Information Company data. Twitter currently stands at #13 (as of the writing of the question).

See current rankings here: http://www.alexa.com/topsites/countries/US#

To settle as yes, Twitter must have a rank of 10 or below.

The question will suspend 1 week before March 1, 2010.

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.alexa.com/topsites/countries/US#

Forecast history %

Yes

95%

Settled as No on Mon 1st Mar 6:28am PST

Activity: H$59,212
Predictions: 64
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Mon 22nd Feb 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 1st Mar 6:28am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 22nd Feb 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 62%

Action history:

Created Mon 14th Sep 2009 5:33pm PST by

sdrawkcabton88 Level 10, Genius (H$13,685)

Suspended Mon 22nd Feb 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Mon 1st Mar 4:44am PST by

mickeydaniel Level 17, Superdubber (H$1,390,935)

: Please settle as NO. Twitter is # 12. http://www.alexa.com/topsites/countries/US#

Settled as 'No' Mon 1st Mar 6:28am PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

: http://www.alexa.com/topsites/countries/US#

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Predictions (64)

3 weeks ago

curtis3 Level 1, Newbie (H$674)

predicted Yes (H$20 at 5%)

3 weeks ago

joaoxxx Level 13, Psychic (H$77,947)

predicted Yes (H$50 at 5%)

3 weeks ago

joe3572001 Level 14, Prophet (H$243,157)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 5%)

4 weeks ago

majorgeeky Level 10, Genius (H$11,143)

predicted No (H$100 at 95%)

4 weeks ago

clevercog Level 9, Expert (H$9,757)

predicted Yes (H$20 at 5%)

Comments (1)

clevercog Level 9, Expert (H$9,757)

Twitter.Com reached Alexa.Com's traffic rank top 10 as of Wed 17 Feb 2010: http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/twitter.com?p=tgraph

However, the Alexa.Com's US top sites appears to either be updated infrequently or is based on averages over one week, one month or three months. So, if Twitter.Com's current volume of traffic continues then it could be counted within the top 10 websites.

posted 4 weeks ago