Created Tue 15th Sep 10:05pm PST by
pixelpaws
F1: How many teams will take the grid for the Bahrain Grand Prix ?
Background: There have been no shortage of wild rumors about the makeup of the 2010 grid, and 2009 isn't even over yet. Three new teams were added, but the BMW team's recent sale has left the FIA pushing to make room for them as a 14th team. Conversely, there are rumors that Toyota may pull out as Honda did at the end of 2008 and uncertainty surrounding several other teams.
Settlement details:As reported on Formula1.com. If the schedule is shuffled such that Australia is not the first race in 2010, whatever race becomes first will count for settlement. Question can be settled based on the number of cars in the first Friday practice session.
F1: How many teams will take the grid for the Bahrain Grand Prix ?
Fifteen or more teams
Fourteen teams
Thirteen teams
Tweleve teams
Eleven teams
Ten teams
Nine teams
Eight teams
Seven or fewer teams
Forecast history %
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| Fifteen or more teams | | |
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| Fourteen teams | | |
|
| Thirteen teams | | |
|
| Tweleve teams | | |
|
| Eleven teams | | |
|
| Ten teams | | |
|
| Nine teams | | |
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| Eight teams | | |
|
| Seven or fewer teams | | |
Question suspends in 15 weeks
Suspend date: Sat 6th Mar 2010 7:59pm PST (15 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Fifteen or more teams: 1%, Fourteen teams: 17%, Thirteen teams: 43%, Tweleve teams: 17%, Eleven teams: 12%, Ten teams: 6%, Nine teams: 2%, Eight teams: 1%, Seven or fewer teams: 1%
Action history:
Suspend date: Sat 6th Mar 2010 7:59pm PST (15 weeks to go) details 
Predictions (34)
1 day ago
tweety
predicted
Tweleve teams (H$100 at 24%)
1 day ago
esop predicted
Tweleve teams (H$20 at 22%)
2 weeks ago
tweety predicted
Fifteen or more teams (H$100 at 8%)
2 weeks ago
tdizzle
predicted
Fifteen or more teams (H$144 at 6%)
2 weeks ago
johnnyd
predicted
Thirteen teams (H$234 at 33%)
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