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Which major Canadian political party will receive highest % of total votes in next general election?

Background: From Reuters on 9/17/09...

OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canada's ruling Conservatives have slightly extended their lead over the main opposition party and stand a good chance of retaining power if an election were held now, according to a poll published on Thursday.

The Ekos survey for the Canadian Broadcasting Corp. put the Conservatives on 35.1 percent, up from 34.2 percent the previous week. The official opposition Liberals dropped to 29.9 percent from 30.8 percent.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Conservatives
52%
Liberals
47%
Any other group
1%
Question suspends in 11 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 1st Jun 11:59pm PST (11 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Conservatives: 50%, Liberals: 49%, Any other group: 1%

Action history:

Created Thu 17th Sep 2009 11:25am PST by valornhonor

Suspend date: Tue 1st Jun 11:59pm PST (11 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (10)

9 weeks ago
bobyn42 predicted Liberals (H$50 at 46%)
19 weeks ago
corbelle predicted Conservatives (H$50 at 54%)
19 weeks ago
valornhonor predicted Conservatives (H$121 at 53%)
22 weeks ago
robinetbatman predicted Conservatives (H$100 at 52%)
23 weeks ago
zollernberg predicted Conservatives (H$300 at 50%)

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