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Where will the BSE/SENSEX index close on December 31, 2009?

Background: The BSE was over 20,000 at the beginning of 2008, dropped like a rock to just above 8,000 in March and has climbed back up to over 16,500, more than doubling its value since the bottom. It's most recent close was 16,741.30 on 9/18/09. Will the BSE skid back down, stay where it is or rally by year end?
Peer into your crystal ball and place your wagers. This one calls for long-term vision...

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
BSE closes at 12,000.00 or less
0%
BSE closes at 12,000.01 to 13,000.00
0%
BSE closes at 13,000.01 to 14,000.00
2%
BSE closes at 14,000.01 to 15,000.00
4%
BSE closes at 15,000.01 to 16,000.00
17%
BSE closes at 16,000.01 to 17,000.00
17%
BSE closes at 17,000.01 to 18,000.00
15%
BSE closes at 18,000.01 to 19,000.00
20%
BSE closes at 19,000.01 to 20,000.00
19%
BSE closes at 20,000.01 or more
7%
Question suspends in 1 week

Suspend date: Tue 1st Dec 3:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: BSE closes at 12,000.00 or less: 3%, BSE closes at 12,000.01 to 13,000.00: 5%, BSE closes at 13,000.01 to 14,000.00: 8%, BSE closes at 14,000.01 to 15,000.00: 12%, BSE closes at 15,000.01 to 16,000.00: 16%, BSE closes at 16,000.01 to 17,000.00: 18%, BSE closes at 17,000.01 to 18,000.00: 16%, BSE closes at 18,000.01 to 19,000.00: 10%, BSE closes at 19,000.01 to 20,000.00: 8%, BSE closes at 20,000.01 or more: 4%

Action history:

Created Sun 20th Sep 4:42pm PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]

Suspend date: Tue 1st Dec 3:59pm PST (1 week to go) details

 

Predictions (60)

1 week ago
masterblaster predicted BSE closes at 17,000.01 to 18,000.00 (H$40 at 15%)
2 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted BSE closes at 15,000.01 to 16,000.00 (H$500 at 15%)
2 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted BSE closes at 16,000.01 to 17,000.00 (H$500 at 17%)
2 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted BSE closes at 17,000.01 to 18,000.00 (H$500 at 16%)
3 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted BSE closes at 13,000.01 to 14,000.00 (H$100 at 2%)

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