Created Tue 22nd Sep 2009 5:53pm PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

NCAAF - Will the #1 Florida Gators get knocked off by non-conference opponent, the H1N1 flu bugs?

Settled as No

No such reports

Background:

Background: Okay, so the #1 ranked Florida Gators dropped the currently #4 ranked Ole Miss Rebels and #3 Alabama Crimson tide (Conference opponents) from their schedule for Charleston Southern, Troy, and FIU (with a total of 1 combined win). And so what if they are one of the few teams to face any opponent outside of their region (with no games scheduled outside of the small Southeast region).
They may now face an unscheduled opponent...the Swine Flu. Yeah, who would have thought a swampy area would attract such a thing?!

On Monday, the #1 team in the nation and favored National Champs (led by Superman himself) announced that 3 starters had played with flu-like symptoms the previous weekend against Tennessee . By Tuesday, that number had doubled, when Urban Meyer announced that he'd hold out 6 for practice .

While no player has had a confirmed case of swine flu, "Meyer has expressed concern that the virus could ravage the defending national champions."

"It is a panic level of proportions I've never seen before," Meyer said. "That's coming from me. You hear about, I think, Wisconsin had 40 players. Ole Miss had 20 players. My wife, with her great insight, said, 'Do you realize the swine flu and everything is hitting the Florida campus last week?' My gosh."

Up to 40 percent of the University of Florida student body could catch the H1N1 virus, according to school officials. UF has seen more than 400 cases of flu-like symptoms since April. Universities across the country are scrambling to educate students about combating the outbreak with various precautionary measures.

To settle as Yes, 1 of the following must happen:
1) It is announced that 10 or more starters do not start any game due to flu-like symptoms.
2) The Gators lose to any of their remaining opponents by 10 or more points, while it is announced that 5 or more starters did not start due to flu-like symptoms.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

95%

Settled as No on Sun 29th Nov 2009 4:34pm PST

Activity: H$48,044
Predictions: 34
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Sat 14th Nov 2009 8am PST
Settlement date: Sun 29th Nov 2009 4:34pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 14th Nov 2009 8am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Tue 22nd Sep 2009 5:53pm PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

Changed Description Tue 22nd Sep 2009 6:26pm PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

: ... a total of 1 combined ~~wins~~win). And so what if they

Suspended Sat 14th Nov 2009 8am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'No' Sun 29th Nov 2009 4:34pm PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

: No such reports

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Predictions (34)

18 weeks ago

david171 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$6,755)

predicted No (H$900 at 95%)

20 weeks ago

philphan1 Level 12, Guru (H$34,550)

predicted No (H$20 at 84%)

20 weeks ago

benchris Level 9, Expert (H$7,987)

predicted No (H$226 at 83%)

22 weeks ago

bookie Level 13, Psychic (H$73,077)

predicted No (H$100 at 84%)

25 weeks ago

ryno26 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$6,079)

predicted No (H$20 at 79%)

Comments (1)

frogchop Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,711,439)

This is easy money in my mind. I wandered through the office yesterday and we had five down with the flu and another two or three looked like they should be home. Sooner or later, it's going to take a team down. At 15%, that's some great odds!

posted 25 weeks ago