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Will Palin's "Going Rogue: An American Life" top the NYT Best Seller List before 2010?

Background: Most Americans have an opinion about former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, her book is due out 11/17.

Do you think it will top NYT Best Seller List before 1/1/10?

Settlement details:As reported by NYT Best Seller List.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
86%
No
14%
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 17th Dec 7:59am PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Tue 29th Sep 3:12am PST by valornhonor
Changed Description Tue 29th Sep 7:26am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: show details
... is due out 11/17. <.<br/> <br/> Do you think

Suspend date: Thu 17th Dec 7:59am PST (3 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (107)

4 days ago
zargonddg predicted Yes (H$500 at 86%)
5 days ago
shadowfax predicted No (H$100 at 12%)
1 week ago
kennyk predicted Yes (H$2,012 at 88%)
1 week ago
flamingo predicted No (H$100 at 13%)
1 week ago
dnicolo1 predicted Yes (H$25 at 87%)

Comments (29)

  1 randburg
The All-American, Family Values, Republican Christmas present! That should put her on the charts...
posted 7 weeks ago
  2 frogchop
DD will probably buy the first run himself. :-p
posted 7 weeks ago
Hmm, if by "top the list" you mean reach the #1 position, I'm not so sure. Certainly it will get into the top ten, probably top 5. Decisions, decisions.
posted 7 weeks ago
Yes, the #1 position is what I'm looking for.
posted 7 weeks ago
Yes, "top" usually means first, otherwise it wouldn't be on "top."
posted 7 weeks ago
Palin's "Going Rogue" Already a Bestseller
http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2009/09/30/politics/politicalhotsheet/entry5354122.shtml
Sarah Palin's forthcoming memoir, "Going Rogue," has reached the top spot on the Amazon.com and Barnes & Noble.com sales rankings - more than a month and a half before it will hit bookshelves on November 17th.

The ranking is based on preorders of the book by the former Republican presidential candidate and Alaska governor who resigned in July, before the end of her gubernatorial term.
[More at the link...]
posted 7 weeks ago
  7 dieseldog
frogchop - only if she signs it, and adds a scantily dressed picture. :O)
posted 7 weeks ago
  8 kruijs[Power User]
hm

Sarah Palin: A Conservative, a Lady, a Leader
http://www.cblpi.org/resources/article.cfm?ID=201

why didn't she make it on the Great American Conservative Women calendar?
http://www.cblpi.org/calendar/
http://www.foxnews.com/slideshow/entertainment/2009/09/28/conservative-calendar

but instead, they take Carrie Prejean, the controversially dethroned Miss California, to be one of the top women leaders in the Conservative Movement....

hmm.

as being typical for fundamental conservatives, it's a balancing act.
women being leaders?
and fulfilling conservative ideals at the same time?
being mom, housewife and making career?
often, apparently, something mutually exclusive.

(does not apply to US conservatives only)
posted 7 weeks ago
Wow, that's interesting. I hadn't noticed that she didn't make the calendar. I wonder if that was because she wasn't invited or that she didn't accept? (I'm going to lean toward the latter here).
posted 7 weeks ago
Blast from the past: Hillary Clinton Book Breaks Sales Record
http://english.people.com.cn/200306/11/eng20030611_117991.shtml
United States former first lady Hillary Rodham Clinton's memoir about her eight years of White House life sold more copies in its first day of release than any other nonfiction book in Barnes & Noble's history, the company said. United States former first lady Hillary Rodham Clinton's memoir about her eight years of White House life sold more copies in its first day of release than any other nonfiction book in Barnes & Noble's history, the company said.

"More than 40,000 books were sold in 24 hours; it's a tremendous amount of books," said Carolyn Brown, director of communications at Barnes & Noble, the world's largest book seller.
"More than 40,000 books were sold in 24 hours; it's a tremendous amount of books," said Carolyn Brown, director of communications at Barnes & Noble, the world's largest book seller.
"We expected Living History to be the best-selling biography of the summer and think the momentum will continue through the fall," Brown said.
Early Tuesday afternoon, the book Living History was in first place on Barnes & Noble's Top 100 online sales.
In the tell-all book, Senator Hillary Clinton talked about such painful and controversial topics as her failed effort to reform health care, her husband Bill Clinton's affair with former White House intern Monica Lewinsky and his impeachment.
Publisher Simon & Schuster ordered 1 million copies for its first printing, an unusually high number for a work of political nonfiction. The publisher has agreed to pay 8 million US dollars for the book.
After seeing the turnout on Monday, the publisher decided to print another 50,000 copies, spokeswoman Victoria Meyer said.
As part of a heavy media blitz to promote the book, Clinton has granted some high-profile television interviews.

...

Hillary Clinton denied that she has the ambition to run for US president. “I have no intention of running for president,” Hillary Clinton said in an interview with Time magazine in which excerpts from the book were published Monday.
[More at the link...]
posted 7 weeks ago
  11 kruijs[Power User]
even Rice was once in it:
"Back-to-school September features the country's most powerful black woman, Oprah! Kidding. It's Condi."
http://dir.salon.com/story/mwt/feature/2004/12/22/calendar_girls/index.html

here's what the huffington post made out of it:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/09/28/help-make-a-liberal-women_n_301885.html
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/09/30/liberal-women-calendar-vo_n_304201.html
posted 7 weeks ago
hmmm! I guess we shouldn't buy her book since she wasn't on the calendar, the fraud.
posted 7 weeks ago
  13 buckojo
Anyidea how many sales it would take to get to no. 1? I'd say that one in 4 to 1 in 3 adult Palin supports would get a copy.
posted 7 weeks ago
  14 kruijs[Power User]
"Anyidea how many sales it would take to get to no. 1?"

exactly the number of sales for #2, plus 1.

;-P
posted 7 weeks ago
@#14 I think that would be the formula for how many sales it would take to place it in the #2 position...

I believe her book would have to sell 1 more than the number of sales for the current #1 :-)
posted 7 weeks ago
  16 buckojo
In any event, Palin at No. 1 spells the death of literature. why doesnt this woman just start breeding so the rest of us can get on with the job?
posted 7 weeks ago
  17 buckojo
I know she has kids already but seriously; a book? please. She's a joke trying to become a novelty...
posted 7 weeks ago
Hey Bucko, are you having a nice conversation with yourself? Here, let me help you out. Why would "Palin at No. 1 spells the death of literature?" I'm sure you have some intelligent reasons for saying that.
posted 6 weeks ago
  19 buckojo
Drz - my comment that "Palin at No. 1 spells the death of literature?" is predictive.

I havnt read it. Maybe it will rival the Grapes of Wrath. Perhaps it will be something on par with 1984. Care to wager? But my comment regards more than whether the book is good or bad. I dont mind a bad book getting no sales any more than I mind a bad movie getting bad sales.

But thats not what we're talking about.

Lets assume that its a pile of s***. If that were the case then its status as a number 1 best seller would have to be attributed to pre-sale hype as opposed to the content. Which situation can be compared to Hollywood films where movies tend to acheive "no. one status" due to the trailer as opposed to its content. Success through advertising as opposed to success through merit. Y'know, like how Transformers was up there for a while.

Have you seen Transformers Drz?

Mindless marketing has hammered good film making. Being John Malkovich was turned down as a script for around a decade because producers doubted that it would make enough money. It was always a good script waiting to become a good movie.

If Palins book is bad (leaving open the option that it will recieve critical acclaim - post some of those review for me if you happen to find any) gets to no. 1, it will speak volmes about how the public is spending its time reading books based on hype and sensationalism as opposed to intrinsic value. A typically (though not exclusively) American process.

Which would be fine if we lived forever and could read all the books we wanted, which, of course, we cant.
posted 6 weeks ago
Have you read "living history"?
How about "My life", both volumes?
Maybe "Giving"? Do any of them compare to "Grapes of Wrath" or "1984"? Why do you arbitrarily focus on this book as having to be like either of them on a literary level?

If you don't like the book then don't buy it. That is what is so great about choice. Not everybody has to like the same books!
posted 6 weeks ago
  21 buckojo
NN - "Not everybody has to like the same books"

Agreed.

Which is not the same as saying that if I publish a book that repeats the word 'fart' for 400 pages there is no good reason for saying that classic and modern pieces of literature acknowledged by critics, and which are self evidently great, are better than it (notwithstanding that some people might really like my 'fart' book).

If youd like to categorise concepts such as lucid prose, inventive narrative structure, and the ability to artfully and skillfully present aspects of the human condition through a combination of words as 'arbitrary' be my guest. When you get down to it I suppose almost everything (philosophically)can be categorised as 'arbitrary'.

None of which focuses on my original criticism. Im talking about the world of literature (which takes a person to write AND a person to read). In my opinion when books outsell all other books on the market (again my original crticisim is based on Palins book reaching number 1) solely due to hype and marketing then we have a problem in that world.

If you think that the production of Palins (no doubt ghost written) book is anything other than a graceless money spinner you really cant see the wood for the trees.

The critics didnt exactly applaud Clintons 'Living History'. Im not defending the commercial success of that book either.

Why make this a Rep v Dem issue? I think Kruis has primed you to see all debates along those lines.
posted 6 weeks ago
  23 kruijs[Power User]
"I think Kruis [sic] has primed you to see all debates along those lines."

hehehe

:-P
posted 6 weeks ago
Glad to see my little market has got y'all riled up, feel like I'm in a pub,which in a way is kind of how this site got conceptualized in the first place.
posted 6 weeks ago
It'll be tough, since labor unions won't be buying them by the carload as they do for Democrat authors, but I actually think it'll hit #1 fairly quickly. That's where I'm putting my money anyway.
posted 6 weeks ago
Sarah Palin makes at least $1.25 million in book deal
http://www.bostonherald.com/entertainment/books/view/20091027sarah_palin_makes_at_least_125_million_in_book_deal/srvc=home&position=recentANCHORAGE, Alaska — Former GOP vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin reported Tuesday that she has received at least $1.25 million for her hugely anticipated upcoming book "Going Rogue."

A disclosure statement released Tuesday discusses Palin’s finances from Jan. 1 to July 27, when she resigned as Alaska governor. Palin says she received $1.25 million from publisher HarperCollins for the book.

The document only provides a partial picture of the book deal because it doesn’t cover the three months she has been out of office. Palin doesn’t elaborate on her book compensation, describing the $1.25 million figure only as a "retainer."

It’s likely she will be make more money when it’s all said and done. "Going Rogue" catapulted to No. 1 on Amazon.com and Barnes & Noble.com after HarperCollins announced in late September it had moved up the release date of 1.5 million copies.

...

[More at the link...]
posted 3 weeks ago
  27 flamingo
Hmmmm. #1? Can it be either in the fiction or non-fiction category?
posted 3 days ago
  28 flamingo
Hmmmm. #1? Can it be either in the fiction or non-fiction category?
posted 3 days ago
  29 flamingo
Hmmmm. #1? Can it be either in the fiction or non-fiction category?
posted 3 days ago

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