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NL MVP - How many different players will receive a first place vote

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Background:

Background: Every season 32 members of the Baseball Writers Association vote on Most valuable Player in each league.

Here are the past results for NL MVP voting http://www.baseballwriters.org/awards/

How many different players will receive a vote for first place?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
only 1 player get first place votes
8%
2 players receive votes for first place
43%
3 players receive votes for first place
36%
4-5 players receive votes for first place
11%
6 or more players receive votes for first place
3%
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Suspend date: Mon 16th Nov 11:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: only 1 player get first place votes: 15%, 2 players receive votes for first place: 30%, 3 players receive votes for first place: 35%, 4-5 players receive votes for first place: 15%, 6 or more players receive votes for first place: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 29th Sep 8:56am PST by philculp
Suspended Mon 16th Nov 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Suspend date: Mon 16th Nov 11:59pm PST details

 

Predictions (8)

6 days ago
rickopd predicted 3 players receive votes for first place (H$100 at 35%)
6 days ago
wallysparks predicted 3 players receive votes for first place (H$900 at 28%)
6 days ago
wallysparks predicted 2 players receive votes for first place (H$2,000 at 41%)
1 week ago
iamthehiphoppopotomus predicted 2 players receive votes for first place (H$100 at 29%)
5 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted 3 players receive votes for first place (H$20 at 33%)

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