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When will start war on Iran?

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Background:

Background: Iran's under top 5 oil countries worldwide.
The war from US against Iraq was maybe also because of a better oil production.

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-09/30/content_12131861.htm

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

US president Obama declares official war against Iran.

 
Forecast history %
winter 2009 (from 21.12.2009 to 19.3.2010)
20%
spring 2010 (from 20.3.2010 to 20.6.2010)
20%
sommer 2010 (from 21.6.2010 to 22.9.2010)
20%
winter 2010 (from 23.9.2010 to 22.12.2010)
20%
before winter 2009
10%
after winter 2010
10%
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Suspend date: Wed 22nd Dec 2010 3pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: winter 2009 (from 21.12.2009 to 19.3.2010): 20%, spring 2010 (from 20.3.2010 to 20.6.2010): 20%, sommer 2010 (from 21.6.2010 to 22.9.2010): 20%, winter 2010 (from 23.9.2010 to 22.12.2010): 20%, before winter 2009: 10%, after winter 2010: 10%

Action history:

Created Tue 29th Sep 10:40am PST by iksor
Suspended Tue 29th Sep 1:24pm PST by sqlman[Admin]: Checking with author

Suspend date: Wed 22nd Dec 2010 3pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

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