Created Thu 1st Oct 8:01am PST by

Will Comcast buy NBC/Universal in 2009?

Background: Comcast exploring stake in NBC

PHILADELPHIA — Comcast Corp. is in negotiations to buy 20 percent to 50 percent of NBC Universal, according to people familiar with the negotiations. Two people described the talks to The Associated Press, confirming earlier reports. They spoke on condition of anonymity because of the preliminary nature of the talks.

The deal hinges in part on whether French conglomerate Vivendi SA decides to sell its 20 percent stake in NBC Universal. General Electric Co. owns the rest. Comcast, the nation's largest cable TV provider, could use NBC Universal to broaden the content it distributes. NBC Universal has several cable channels plus the NBC and Telemundo networks, the Universal Pictures movie studio and a chain of theme parks. A 50 percent stake could cost at least $10 billion.

CatEd's notation: A purchase of 20% or more by Comcast will settle this question as a YES.

Settlement details:Since the article cited in the background mentioned that a 20%-50% share of NBC/Universal is being negotiated for sale, if Comcast buys at least 20% of NBC/Universal -- this question should settle as YES.
Settled by reports from mainstream news reports.

intent to merge is sufficient for this market to settle as YES -- as reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

43%

57%

Question suspends in 4 weeks

Activity: H$18,652
Predictions: 19
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Thu 1st Oct 8:01am PST by

lola

Changed Description Sat 3rd Oct 4:29am PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

: show details

... cost at least $10 billion.. CatEd's notation: A purchase of 20% or more by Comcast will settle this question as a YES.

Changed Settlement info Sat 3rd Oct 4:29am PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

: show details

... ~~Announcement~~Since the article cited in the background mentioned that a 20%-50% share of NBC/Universal is being negotiated for sale, if Comcast buys at least 20% of NBC/Universal -- this question should settle as YES. Settled by reports from mainstream news reports. intent to merge is sufficient

Changed Suspend date Sat 3rd Oct 4:29am PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

: was: "2009-12-31 23:59:00"

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Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (19)

1 week ago

sailfurther Level 6, Player (H$2,193)

predicted Yes (H$40 at 43%)

2 weeks ago

coolkraft Level 14, Prophet (H$130,389)

predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 42%)

3 weeks ago

sailfurther Level 6, Player (H$2,193)

predicted No (H$20 at 60%)

4 weeks ago

coolkraft Level 14, Prophet (H$130,389)

predicted Yes (H$121 at 40%)

6 weeks ago

opie

predicted Yes (H$100 at 43%)

Comments (2)

hfl13

Whats buy ? 20 or 5o%?

posted 7 weeks ago

lola

Thank you for the need for clarification HFL13. Since the article cited in the background mentions a 20%-50% share of NBC/Universal is being negotiated for sale, if Comcast buys at least 20% of NBC/Universal -- this question should settle as YES.

posted 7 weeks ago