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G.O.D. Horse Race Derivative Winning Prediction - What Will It Be? 9 October 2009

Settled as Wow - the winning option closed above 66%

All three closed higher for the week, and 71% of the wagers agreed with the correct outcome

Background:

Background: Petefin has created the weekly Gold Oil Dow 3 horse race question - but how well do HubDubbers predict the outcome? see

http://www.hubdub.com/m55675/Gold__Oil__Dow__Three_horse_race_Finish_line_9_October__2009

G.O.D. is back!

Settlement details:As determined by the close of http://www.hubdub.com/m55675/Gold__Oil__Dow__Three_horse_race_Finish_line_9_October__2009

 
Forecast history %
Bah - the winning option closed below 33%
28%
Hm - the winning option closed between 33% and 66%
1%
Wow - the winning option closed above 66%
70%
Settled as Wow - the winning option closed above 66% on Fri 9th Oct 6:08pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 8th Oct 8:15pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 9th Oct 6:08pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 8th Oct 8:15pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Bah - the winning option closed below 33%: 25%, Hm - the winning option closed between 33% and 66%: 30%, Wow - the winning option closed above 66%: 45%

Action history:

Created Sun 4th Oct 8:18am PST by bookie
Changed Suspend date Mon 5th Oct 8:35am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: was: "2009-10-29 20:15:00"
Suspended Thu 8th Oct 8:15pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 9th Oct 2:22pm PST by gonegonegone: G.O.D settled All Three Up @ 71%.
This settles as Wow - The winning option closed above 66%
Settled as 'Wow - the winning option closed above 66%' Fri 9th Oct 6:08pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]: All three closed higher for the week, and 71% of the wagers agreed with the correct outcome

Suspend date: Thu 8th Oct 8:15pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 9th Oct 6:08pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 8th Oct 8:15pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (60)

6 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Bah - the winning option closed below 33% (H$42 at 21%)
6 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Hm - the winning option closed between 33% and 66% (H$25 at 2%)
6 weeks ago
bookie predicted Wow - the winning option closed above 66% (H$300 at 50%)
6 weeks ago
jank predicted Hm - the winning option closed between 33% and 66% (H$100 at 25%)
6 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted Wow - the winning option closed above 66% (H$100 at 45%)

Comments (2)

I think you have an incorrect suspend date - 3 wks from now. Will flag fro repairs.
posted 6 weeks ago
  2 bookie
Thanks, Tuff - don't know how that happened!
posted 6 weeks ago

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