How many 2009 movies will be on the IMDB top 250 list by 1/1/2010

Suspend date: Fri 25th Dec 2009 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 4th Jan 2:39pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 25th Dec 2009 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 4: 8%, 4: 14%, 5: 18%, 6: 20%, 7: 17%, 8: 10%, 9: 8%, More than 9: 5%

Action history:

Created Mon 5th Oct 2009 9:10pm PST by uberin

Changed Description Tue 6th Oct 2009 2:42am PST by jenniandboys: show details

... with the lowest at 243. <.<br/> <br/> Passed resentrecent years (2004-7) (2005-3

Suspended Fri 25th Dec 2009 3:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Fri 1st Jan 10:07am PST by hfl13: 26. Avatar
68. Inglourious Basterds
70. Up
100. Destrict 9
143. Star Trek
224. (500) Days of Summer
= 6

http://us.imdb.com/chart/top

Settled as '6' Mon 4th Jan 2:39pm PST by jenniandboys

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Suspend date: Fri 25th Dec 2009 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 4th Jan 2:39pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 25th Dec 2009 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details