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Superbowl XLIV: Which commercial is best?

Background: Every year USA Today has an Ad-Meter in which they rank the superbowl commercials. Last year, Doritos took the number one spot with a commercial made by amateurs. Last years results -->http://www.usatoday.com/money/advertising/admeter/2009-02-01-results-chart_N.htm?loc=interstitialskip

Past results --> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USA_Today_Super_Bowl_Ad_Meter

Which company will take the #1 spot this year?

Check here for the past superbowl commercials -->http://www.superbowl-ads.com/

"Any website" must specifically be for a commercial that is exclusively a website. For example, a bestbuy commercial that mentions bestbuy.com would not qualify.

Settlement details:As reported by USA today's ad meter

 
Forecast history %
Doritos
5%
Pepsi Cola
7%
Coca Cola
3%
Bud Light
29%
Budweiser
17%
A Car Manufacturer
3%
Any Restauant
4%
Any website (cars.com, go daddy, etc.)
7%
Any other beverage company
7%
any other company / tie / no results announced
19%
Question suspends in 11 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 7th Feb 2010 11:59pm PST (11 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Doritos: 5%, Pepsi Cola: 10%, Coca Cola: 5%, Bud Light: 20%, Budweiser: 20%, A Car Manufacturer: 5%, Any Restauant: 5%, Any website (cars.com, go daddy, etc.): 5%, Any other beverage company: 5%, any other company / tie / no results announced: 20%

Action history:

Created Thu 8th Oct 1:45pm PST by philculp

Suspend date: Sun 7th Feb 2010 11:59pm PST (11 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (21)

3 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Budweiser (H$100 at 16%)
3 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted Bud Light (H$1,000 at 21%)
5 weeks ago
coasterjet predicted Bud Light (H$50 at 14%)
6 weeks ago
philbartu predicted Any other beverage company (H$5 at 9%)
6 weeks ago
philculp predicted Any other beverage company (H$300 at 6%)

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