Will NASA's moon crash find water?

Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 4:30am PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Sat 14th Nov 1:33pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 13th Nov 8:20am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Thu 8th Oct 3:46pm PST by cookietime

Suspended Fri 9th Oct 4:30am PST : Suspend date reached

Changed Suspend date Sun 11th Oct 1:43pm PST by tisha: was: "2009-10-09 04:30:00"

Unsuspended Sun 11th Oct 1:46pm PST by tisha: The latest news about the moon crash is that it may take up to two months to find out whether the mission was a success or not.
http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE5983CI20091009

I have reopened the question for now. In the event that this story drops off the news radar (possible if the PR folk somehow try to cover up the fact that the mission has failed) and there is no further news by the end of the year, this question will settle at the end of 2009. If results are not yet available by the end of the year, but there is a time frame given about when to expect results, then the suspend date may be moved forward.

Changed Description Sun 11th Oct 1:47pm PST by tisha: show details

... that its no longer inhabitable. <.<br/> <br/> So will they ... an hour after initial impact. <.<br/> <br/> <a href="http:// ... news/article.cfm?c_id=2&amp;objectid=10602179">http://www.nzherald. ... news/article.cfm?c_id=2&amp;objectid=10602179</a><br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification</b><br/> The latest news about the moon crash is that it may take up to two months to find out whether the mission was a success or not. <br/> http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSTRE5983CI20091009<br/> <br/> I have reopened the question for now. In the event that this story drops off the news radar (possible if the PR folk somehow try to cover up the fact that the mission has failed) and there is no further news by the end of the year, this question will settle at the end of 2009. If results are not yet available by the end of the year, but there is a time frame given about when to expect results, then the suspend date may be moved forward.

Settlement requested Fri 13th Nov 10:26am PST by ajerion: CNN is reporting that NASA is saying they found "Significant" water on the moon.

http://www.cnn.com/2009/TECH/space/11/13/water.moon.nasa/index.html

Suspended Fri 13th Nov 10:34am PST by sqlman: Checking on possible settlement (cat-ed: please note late wagerers)

Settlement requested Fri 13th Nov 2:54pm PST by randburg: Water found on the moon, as a result of data gathered from Nasa's moon crash:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/video/2009/10/27/VI2009102703656.html?wpisrc=newsletter&wpisrc=newsletter

Settled as 'Yes' Sat 14th Nov 1:33pm PST by tisha: NASA said Friday it had discovered water on the moon, opening "a new chapter" that could allow for the development of a lunar space station.
http://www.cnn.com/2009/TECH/space/11/13/water.moon.nasa/index.html

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Suspend date: Wed 30th Dec 4:30am PST (5 weeks to go)
Settlement date: Sat 14th Nov 1:33pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 13th Nov 8:20am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details