Created Fri 9th Oct 8:21pm PST by

How many Hubdubbers will achieve a quarterly gain of 500,000 or more in Q4 2009?

Background: There are a lot of "rich" Hubdubbers, but not everybody is playing or winning. Last quarter, 3 players gained a million H$, 10 made 500k and 16 made H$ 250,000. There should be more this quarter, as there are now more high net worth hubdubbers and we all know that the rich get richer.
The question is: how many will have gained at least 500,000 H$ in the fourth quarter of 09? The market will suspend one week prior.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. In case no mainstream source reports Hubdub gains, we will go with the Quarterly Gain Leaderboard as of the last available reading on Dec 31st, 2009 PST: http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=1

Forecast history %

3 or less stuck in neutral

4 to 5

6 to 7

8 to 9

32%

10 to 11

50%

12 to 13

14 to 15

16 to 17

18 or more - HD rocks

Question suspends in 4 weeks

Activity: H$11,679
Predictions: 33
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 12:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 3 or less stuck in neutral: 6%, 4 to 5: 8%, 6 to 7: 12%, 8 to 9: 15%, 10 to 11: 18%, 12 to 13: 15%, 14 to 15: 12%, 16 to 17: 8%, 18 or more - HD rocks: 6%

Action history:

Created Fri 9th Oct 8:22pm PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

hide