Created Fri 9th Oct 8:38pm PST by

How many Hubdubbers will achieve a quarterly gain of 100,000 or more in Q4 2009?

Background: There are a lot of "rich" Hubdubbers, but not everybody is playing or winning. Last quarter, 16 players gained a quarter of a million and about 34 gained 100,000. There should be more this quarter, as there are now more high net worth hubdubbers and we all know that the rich get richer. Currently, there are already 5 who have gained over 100,000 and 9 who are 50,000 richer since Sept 30th. We are only 10% into the 4th quarter!
The question is: how many will have gained at least 100,000 H$ in the fourth quarter of 09? The market will suspend one week prior.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. In case no mainstream source reports Hubdub gains, we will go with the Quarterly Gain Leaderboard as of the latest available reading on December 31st PST: http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=2

Forecast history %

20 or less stuck in neutral

21 to 25

26 to 30

19%

31 to 35

42%

36 to 40

28%

41 to 45

46 to 50

51 to 55

56 or more HD rocks!

Question suspends in 4 weeks

Activity: H$9,826
Predictions: 31
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 12:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 20 or less stuck in neutral: 6%, 21 to 25: 8%, 26 to 30: 12%, 31 to 35: 15%, 36 to 40: 18%, 41 to 45: 15%, 46 to 50: 12%, 51 to 55: 8%, 56 or more HD rocks!: 6%

Action history:

Created Fri 9th Oct 8:38pm PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

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