Created Fri 9th Oct 8:47pm PST by

How many Hubdubbers will achieve a quarterly gain of 50,000 or more in Q4 2009?

Background: There are a lot of "rich" Hubdubbers, but not everybody is playing or winning. Last quarter, 3 players gained H$1,000,000, 16 players gained H$250,000, 34 won 100,000 and about 60 gained H$50,000. There should be more this quarter, as there are now more high net worth hubdubbers and we all know that the rich get richer. Currently, there are already 5 who have gained over H$100,000 and 9 who are H$50,000 richer since Sept 30. We are only 1/10th into the 4th quarter!
The question is: how many will have gained at least H$50,000 in the fourth quarter of 09? The market will suspend one week prior.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. In case no mainstream source reports Hubdub gains, we will go with the Quarterly Gain Leaderboard as of the latest available reading before midnight PST on December 31st: http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=3

Forecast history %

40 or less stuck in neutral

41 to 45

46 to 50

51 to 55

27%

56 to 60

34%

61 to 65

22%

66 to 70

71 to 75

76 or more HD rocks!

Question suspends in 4 weeks

Activity: H$9,949
Predictions: 30
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 12:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 40 or less stuck in neutral: 6%, 41 to 45: 8%, 46 to 50: 12%, 51 to 55: 15%, 56 to 60: 18%, 61 to 65: 15%, 66 to 70: 12%, 71 to 75: 8%, 76 or more HD rocks!: 6%

Action history:

Created Fri 9th Oct 8:47pm PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

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