How many Hubdubbers will achieve a quarterly gain of 50,000 or more in Q4 2009?
Background: There are a lot of "rich" Hubdubbers, but not everybody is playing or winning. Last quarter, 3 players gained H$1,000,000, 16 players gained H$250,000, 34 won 100,000 and about 60 gained H$50,000. There should be more this quarter, as there are now more high net worth hubdubbers and we all know that the rich get richer. Currently, there are already 5 who have gained over H$100,000 and 9 who are H$50,000 richer since Sept 30. We are only 1/10th into the 4th quarter!
The question is: how many will have gained at least H$50,000 in the fourth quarter of 09? The market will suspend one week prior.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. In case no mainstream source reports Hubdub gains, we will go with the Quarterly Gain Leaderboard as of the latest available reading before midnight PST on December 31st: http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=3
How many Hubdubbers will achieve a quarterly gain of 50,000 or more in Q4 2009?
40 or less stuck in neutral
41 to 45
46 to 50
51 to 55
56 to 60
61 to 65
66 to 70
71 to 75
76 or more HD rocks!
Zoom out
Forecast history %
|
| 40 or less stuck in neutral | |
|
| 41 to 45 | |
|
| 46 to 50 | |
|
| 51 to 55 | |
|
| 56 to 60 | |
|
| 61 to 65 | |
|
| 66 to 70 | |
|
| 71 to 75 | |
|
| 76 or more HD rocks! | |
Settled as 56 to 60 on Fri 1st Jan 2:44am PST
Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 2009 12:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 2:44am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 24th Dec 2009 12:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
40 or less stuck in neutral: 6%, 41 to 45: 8%, 46 to 50: 12%, 51 to 55: 15%, 56 to 60: 18%, 61 to 65: 15%, 66 to 70: 12%, 71 to 75: 8%, 76 or more HD rocks!: 6%
Action history:
Suspended Thu 24th Dec 2009 12:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 2009 12:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 2:44am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 24th Dec 2009 12:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (68)
11 weeks ago
mayank
predicted
56 to 60 (H$14 at 52%)
Comments (1)
Please log in or join to add a comment