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Will there be a White Christmas this year in Chicago?

Background: To be considered as a 'White Christmas', there must be 1 inch of snow on the ground at any time during 25th December (local time), as reported here
http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KORD/2009/12/25/DailyHistory.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_Christmas

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.wunderground.com/.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
46%
No
54%
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 4pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Sat 10th Oct 1:49pm PST by kruijs[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 4pm PST (4 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (45)

1 week ago
horatiomonty predicted No (H$2,000 at 52%)
1 week ago
shnout predicted Yes (H$100 at 50%)
2 weeks ago
tiffany predicted Yes (H$50 at 50%)
4 weeks ago
curly predicted Yes (H$250 at 49%)
4 weeks ago
indie1977 predicted Yes (H$100 at 48%)

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