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Created Sat 10th Oct 2:06pm PST by kruijs[Power User]

Will there be a White Christmas this year in Washington, DC?

Background: To be considered as a 'White Christmas', there must be 1 inch of snow on the ground at any time during 25th December (local time), as reported here
http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KDCA/2009/12/25/DailyHistory.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_Christmas

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.wunderground.com/.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
31%
No
69%
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 4pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 13%

Action history:

Created Sat 10th Oct 2:06pm PST by kruijs[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 4pm PST (4 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (49)

1 week ago
cluster0ne predicted Yes (H$20 at 31%)
1 week ago
uvthegreatest predicted Yes (H$150 at 31%)
1 week ago
msellen predicted Yes (H$50 at 30%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted No (H$600 at 69%)
2 weeks ago
dingoh predicted Yes (H$5 at 31%)

Comments (1)

  1 onedave[Power User]
Not sure if the formatting on the settlement source is correct. However, it appears that Reagan National Airport gets 0.1 inches of snow on average. If the airport gets that rare Christmas snow storm, this market should settle as yes.
posted 5 weeks ago

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