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Will Raul Castro leave office before Barack Obama

Background: This is a measure of change in Cuba. President Obama's term ends Jan. 20, 2013. The unelected Castro has no fixed term. My bet is that either through natural or political causes, he will be out of office before President Obama.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
58%
No
42%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Sat 19th Jan 2013 5:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Sat 10th Oct 2009 7:03pm PST by corbelle
Suspended Sun 11th Oct 2009 4:09am PST by sqlman[Admin]: Checking with the author...
Unsuspended Wed 4th Nov 2009 7:12pm PST by sqlman[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 19th Jan 2013 5:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (8)

1 week ago
pics4d predicted No (H$1,500 at 39%)
15 weeks ago
hayabusa143 predicted No (H$50 at 35%)
15 weeks ago
harlech predicted Yes (H$100 at 65%)
18 weeks ago
corbelle predicted Yes (H$100 at 64%)
22 weeks ago
tkui predicted No (H$70 at 36%)

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