Created Sun 11th Oct 12:01pm PST by

the_boy_wonker Level 12, Guru (H$36,275)

UK Politics: How Many MPs Will Repay Expenses?

Background:
At least 325 MPs will be ordered this week to repay money or provide further details of their parliamentary allowances by the head of an official inquiry into the Commons expenses scandal.

Sir Thomas Legg will dispatch hundreds of letters tomorrow notifying MPs of the findings of his investigation into the widespread abuse of allowances system uncovered by the Telegraph.

The “Legg letters” will fall into three categories: MPs who are told to repay cash, those who are ordered to provide further information about their claims, such as receipts, and those who are told no further action will be taken. A senior Whitehall source told The Telegraph that “more than half” of the 646 MPs would fall into the first two categories.

The letters will be sent out privately, and Sir Thomas is not expected to deliver his final report until December.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/mps-expenses/6293282/MPs-expenses-325-MPs-told-to-pay-up-or-explain.html

Settlement details:As per number of MPs stated in Sir Thomas Legg's final report.

Forecast history %

0-100

22%

101-200

37%

201-300

17%

301-400

19%

401-500

501-600

601-646

Question suspends in 1 week

Activity: H$8,175
Predictions: 16
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 3:59pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: 0-100: 20%, 101-200: 20%, 201-300: 20%, 301-400: 25%, 401-500: 10%, 501-600: 3%, 601-646: 2%

Action history:

Created Sun 11th Oct 12:01pm PST by

the_boy_wonker Level 12, Guru (H$36,275)

Changed Question text Mon 12th Oct 2:01am PST by

tisha

: ... Politics: How Many MPs Will ~~Have to~~ Repay Expenses?

Changed Description Mon 12th Oct 2:01am PST by

tisha

: ... ~~<br/> <~~ <br/> At least 325 MPs

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Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 3:59pm PST (1 week to go) details

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Predictions (16)

2 weeks ago

jank

predicted 201-300 (H$100 at 31%)

2 weeks ago

harryhayfield Level 10, Genius (H$11,449)

predicted 201-300 (H$1,000 at 28%)

2 weeks ago

jank

predicted 201-300 (H$250 at 20%)

3 weeks ago

neotenic Level 5, Predictor (H$1,431)

predicted 201-300 (H$50 at 17%)

4 weeks ago

keyeshoveden [Power User]

predicted 301-400 (H$1,000 at 24%)

Comments (2)

ojw15

Will this include the many MPs who have already voluntarily repaid expense claims, or only those who do so in response to the Legg letters?

posted 5 weeks ago

the_boy_wonker Level 12, Guru (H$36,275)

Good question. I think it fairer if those MPs that have already paid are excluded, and settlement relies only on those who repay expenses as a result of the Legg letters.

posted 5 weeks ago