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Who will win the 2010 Australian Open Mens Singles?

Background: Who will win the 2010 Australian Open Mens Singles?
www.australianopen.org

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
www.australianopen.org
www.atpworldtour.com

 
Forecast history %
1.Roger Federer
25%
2.Rafael Nadal
23%
3.Novak Djokovic
9%
4.Andy Murray
11%
5.Juan Martin Del Potro
13%
6.Andy Roddick
3%
7.Jo Wilfred Tsonga
6%
8.Nikolay Davydenko
2%
9.Fernando Verdasco
2%
10.The Field (someone not mentioned above.)
6%
Question suspends in 8 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 16th Jan 2010 3:59pm PST (8 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 1.Roger Federer: 24%, 2.Rafael Nadal: 24%, 3.Novak Djokovic: 10%, 4.Andy Murray: 10%, 5.Juan Martin Del Potro: 10%, 6.Andy Roddick: 6%, 7.Jo Wilfred Tsonga: 6%, 8.Nikolay Davydenko: 4%, 9.Fernando Verdasco: 4%, 10.The Field (someone not mentioned above.): 2%

Action history:

Created Sun 11th Oct 9:38pm PST by thebot

Suspend date: Sat 16th Jan 2010 3:59pm PST (8 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (27)

3 days ago
ghostbuster predicted 5.Juan Martin Del Potro (H$100 at 12%)
1 week ago
godsprophet predicted 1.Roger Federer (H$50 at 31%)
3 weeks ago
stefo91 predicted 1.Roger Federer (H$100 at 23%)
4 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted 4.Andy Murray (H$200 at 8%)
4 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted 3.Novak Djokovic (H$200 at 8%)

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