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Who will win BBC Sports Personality 2009?

Question created by
Background: http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/bbc-sports-personality.htm

The cyclist Chris Hoy won the 2008 award. Jenson Button and Andy Murray are the favourites but this could all change by the end of the year. The BBC Sports Personality award will be held in the Sheffield Arena for the first time. It's live on BBC1 on Sunday, 13th of December.

Settlement details:As reported by the BBC

 
Forecast history %
Jenson Button
53%
Andy Murray
4%
Rory McIroy
0%
Mark Cavendish
4%
Andrew Flintoff
4%
Other
34%
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Sun 13th Dec 1pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Jenson Button: 55%, Andy Murray: 32%, Rory McIroy: 4%, Mark Cavendish: 3%, Andrew Flintoff: 2%, Other: 4%

Action history:

Created Mon 12th Oct 4:51am PST by olbg

Suspend date: Sun 13th Dec 1pm PST (3 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (102)

8 hours ago
ghostbuster predicted Rory McIroy (H$2 at 0%)
1 day ago
ghostbuster predicted Jenson Button (H$150 at 53%)
2 days ago
stampee1 predicted Other (H$500 at 28%)
3 days ago
robert2 predicted Andrew Flintoff (H$100 at 3%)
3 days ago
robert2 predicted Andy Murray (H$100 at 3%)

Comments (2)

  1 oocares
It looks like the UK has a new heavyweight champion of the world...may get a few votes...
http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/2009/nov/07/david-haye-nikolai-valuev-title-fight
posted 1 week ago
  2 stampee1
can not see jenson button winning, hamilton did not win the year before, and button had a poor second half of year. others look such a great prediction.
posted 1 week ago

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