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HSX: Will "SAW VI" earn at least $70m in the dom box office during first 4 weeks?

Settled as No

Background: Next week - back to bigger HSX questions. The questions use the HSX estimate of future movies: http://www.hsx.com/security/feature.php?type=upcoming and the background from boxoffice mojo.


SAW VI
Release Date: 10/23/09
Final Date: 11/19/09
Distributor: Lionsgate
Genre: Horror
MPAA Rating: R
Theaters: wide

Settlement details:http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=saw6.htm

 
Forecast history %
Yes
1%
No
99%
Settled as No on Wed 11th Nov 6:29pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 14th Nov 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 11th Nov 6:29pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 12th Oct 9:42am PST by hfl13
Settlement requested Wed 11th Nov 5:34pm PST by hfl13: From 3036 theaters the movie lost 945 Friday.

The movie is at a total $26,623,137 after 19 days and only made $2,031,944 the last weekend.

There is no way to 70m with only 9 days left.
Settled as 'No' Wed 11th Nov 6:29pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 14th Nov 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 11th Nov 6:29pm PST details

 

Predictions (26)

2 weeks ago
chull predicted No (H$10,000 at 99%)
4 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$1,500 at 61%)
5 weeks ago
rdeggau predicted No (H$200 at 50%)

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