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What will the U.S. government reply to the Climate Agreement in Copenhagen, Denmark to December?

Background: Can U.S.A. clear all Climate Agreement requirements, and therefore say yes to the Climate Agreement, and reduce CO2 emissions by 20% before the end of 2020.

If you think they can do it: Vote Yes
If you didn't think they can do it: Vote No

It will be decided at COP15 in Copenhagen, Denmark to December.
From December 7 - December 18 2009 in Copenhagen, Denmark.

COP15 = United Nations Climate Change Conference Copenhagen 2009

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.cop15.com.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
14%
No
86%
Question suspends in 2 weeks

Suspend date: Sat 5th Dec 11:59am PST (2 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 12th Oct 11:49am PST by wocam
Settlement requested Mon 12th Oct 1:20pm PST by onedave[Power User]: Please clean up question title.

Suspend date: Sat 5th Dec 11:59am PST (2 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (43)

4 days ago
joe_boyd predicted Yes (H$100 at 14%)
5 days ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 18%)
1 week ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 18%)
2 weeks ago
chett predicted No (H$100 at 84%)
2 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$500 at 15%)

Comments (1)

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