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Will Republican Rep. Michael Castle win VP Bidens Delaware US Senate seat in 2010?

Background: Republican Rep. Michael Castle announced at a press conference in Wilmington, Del., that he will seek the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Vice President Biden last year -- instantly boosting the GOP's chances of capturing a Democratic seat.


http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
48%
No
52%
Question suspends in 16 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 12th Jul 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Mon 12th Oct 2009 1:10pm PST by dnicolo1

Suspend date: Mon 12th Jul 11:59pm PST (16 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (9)

2 weeks ago
jhc360 predicted Yes (H$20 at 48%)
4 weeks ago
modigs2000 predicted Yes (H$150 at 48%)
7 weeks ago
modigs2000 predicted Yes (H$200 at 47%)
11 weeks ago
jarrod predicted No (H$5,000 at 46%)
14 weeks ago
dnicolo1 predicted Yes (H$50 at 60%)

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