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Will Iran go to civil war before the end of President Ahmadinejad's term?

Background: Most people have seen the Iranian people protest the returning president. Everyone has heard of the violent put-downs by government forces. Will the protesters respond by trying to overthrow the President of Iran if a more peaceful resolution isn't achieved first?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
60%
No
40%
Question suspends in 3 years

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 9:59pm PST (3 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 62%

Action history:

Created Tue 13th Oct 6:23am PST by hayabusa143
Changed Suspend date Fri 20th Nov 2:59am PST by sqlman[Admin]: was: "2009-12-31 21:59:00"

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 9:59pm PST (3 years to go) details

 

Predictions (11)

2 days ago
bones predicted No (H$20 at 40%)
2 days ago
esop predicted No (H$20 at 40%)
2 weeks ago
lastid predicted No (H$50 at 40%)
5 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted No (H$1,000 at 60%)
5 weeks ago
kolia39 predicted No (H$100 at 58%)

Comments (4)

  1 Erik
When is the end of President Ahmadinejad's term?
posted 5 weeks ago
  2 Erik
Never mind....four years. 2013.
posted 5 weeks ago
  3 Erik
I'll take my $$ and run, thank you.
posted 5 weeks ago
  4 randburg
Do I understand correctly that this question is going to be suspended (frozen) for FOUR YEARS?
posted 2 weeks ago

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