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Will Iran go to civil war before the end of President Ahmadinejad's term?

Background: Most people have seen the Iranian people protest the returning president. Everyone has heard of the violent put-downs by government forces. Will the protesters respond by trying to overthrow the President of Iran if a more peaceful resolution isn't achieved first?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
45%
No
55%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 9:59pm PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 62%

Action history:

Created Tue 13th Oct 2009 6:23am PST by hayabusa143
Changed Suspend date Fri 20th Nov 2009 2:59am PST by sqlman[Admin]: was: "2009-12-31 21:59:00"

Suspend date: Mon 31st Dec 2012 9:59pm PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (33)

6 weeks ago
freddiefeelgood predicted Yes (H$100 at 45%)
6 weeks ago
freddiefeelgood predicted No (H$100 at 55%)
10 weeks ago
coolkraft predicted Yes (H$477 at 52%)
10 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Yes (H$1,555 at 43%)
10 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 39%)

Comments (6)

  1 Erik
When is the end of President Ahmadinejad's term?
posted 22 weeks ago
  2 Erik
Never mind....four years. 2013.
posted 22 weeks ago
  3 Erik
I'll take my $$ and run, thank you.
posted 22 weeks ago
  4 randburg
Do I understand correctly that this question is going to be suspended (frozen) for FOUR YEARS?
posted 19 weeks ago
  5 mungo10
There are rumors that martial law has been declared in Najafabad. http://www.nowpublic.com/world/iran-declares-martial-law-najafabad
posted 10 weeks ago
  6 mungo10
Video - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=px2lZvwe7kI
posted 10 weeks ago

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