Created Tue 13th Oct 2009 6:46am PST by

bethanypackham6 Level 5, Predictor (H$1,597)

Will the Indian government send troops against the Maoists before December 2009?

Voided

Haven't heard back from the author, and there seems to be some extant confusion, we we've elected to void.

Background:

Background: Suspected Maoists blew up a railway track, a bridge and fired at a bus Monday in eastern India ahead of a planned crackdown by paramilitaries and police.

Maoists call for a tw-day strike over planned offensive, police say

Indian authorities want to control rebel stronghold until governance is estb.

Forces expected to be moved to eastern Indiea in operation expected to last a year

Maoists say they are fighting to defend the rights of the poor.

http://www.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/asiapcf/10/12/india.maoists/index.html

Settlement details:As reported by CNN.

Forecast history %

Yes

65%

35%

Voided Sun 20th Dec 2009 10:46am PST

Activity: H$34,240
Predictions: 10
Comments: 4

Suspend date: Wed 1st Dec 3:59pm PST (37 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Tue 13th Oct 2009 6:46am PST by

bethanypackham6 Level 5, Predictor (H$1,597)

Suspended Wed 4th Nov 2009 3:39pm PST by

sqlman [Admin]

: Awaiting author clarification

Voided Sun 20th Dec 2009 10:46am PST by

sqlman [Admin]

: Haven't heard back from the author, and there seems to be some extant confusion, we we've elected to void.

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Suspend date: Wed 1st Dec 3:59pm PST (37 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (10)

18 weeks ago

horatiomonty Level 13, Psychic (H$65,206)

predicted No (H$2,000 at 51%)

19 weeks ago

horatiomonty Level 13, Psychic (H$65,206)

predicted No (H$2,400 at 46%)

20 weeks ago

tkui

predicted Yes (H$125 at 58%)

20 weeks ago

horatiomonty Level 13, Psychic (H$65,206)

predicted No (H$1,500 at 40%)

20 weeks ago

mumforga Level 5, Predictor (H$1,754)

predicted Yes (H$20 at 62%)

Comments (4)

randburg Level 20, Hubdub God (H$5,863,083)

Question: The question heading says "before December 2009", while the suspend date is December 1, 2010. Can we please have a clarification on this? Thanks.

posted 18 weeks ago

sqlman [Admin]

I've written to the author, though the background makes it seem as though December 2010 is correct.

posted 18 weeks ago

horatiomonty Level 13, Psychic (H$65,206)

Oh, I thought the mistake was in the supsend date...

posted 18 weeks ago

horatiomonty Level 13, Psychic (H$65,206)

"Forces expected to be moved to eastern Indiea in operation expected to last a year ".
Maybe this sentence gives a clue?
I wouldn't have placed a bet if the suspend date had been Dec 2010.
I usually don't go for long-term bets.

posted 18 weeks ago