imantsdimants
Dow Poker: Best poker hand in Dow at close Tue 20 October, 2009?
Looks like one pair again...DJIA closed at 10041.48, providing a poker hand from the last five digits of 0, 4, 1, 4, & 8 . . . or a pair of 4s with a 0, 1, & 8
Background:
Initial likelihoods: Highest number: 35%, 1 pair: 35%, 2 pair: 15%, 3 of a kind: 7%, straight (5 consecutive): 2%, full house (3 of a kind and 1 pair): 2%, 4 of a kind: 2%, 5 of a kind: 2%
Background: With thanks to Hubdubbob and Youbet.
Five numbers from right to left make best poker hand.
The zero (0) will only count as zero, not as 10.
***
This question is based on the closing price of DJIA (the "DOW").
Settlement is based on the winning poker hand using only the "Five numbers from right to left".
For instance, if the DOW were to close at 9888.88, the winning hand would be "5 of a kind", consisting of all 8's.
You'd ignore the leftmost digit (in this case the 9) because it's not involved in settling this question.
If the DOW closes at 10,888.88, the winning hand would also be "5 of a kind", consisting of all 8's as we're only using the "Five numbers from right to left" ignoring the "1" and the "0".
Feeling lucky?
Then place your bets!
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
| Highest number |
| |||
| 1 pair |
| |||
| 2 pair |
| |||
| 3 of a kind |
| |||
| straight (5 consecutive) |
| |||
| full house (three of a kind and one pair) |
| |||
| 4 of a kind |
| |||
| 5 of a kind |
|
- Activity: H$15,925 |
- Predictions: 297 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Tue 20th Oct 2009 11:55am PST
Settlement date: Tue 20th Oct 2009 1:51pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 20th Oct 2009 11:55am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Highest number: 35%, 1 pair: 35%, 2 pair : 15%, 3 of a kind: 7%, straight (5 consecutive): 2%, full house (three of a kind and one pair): 2%, 4 of a kind: 2%, 5 of a kind: 2%
Action history:
imantsdimants 
cheesenips: 2 pair 10041.48 http://online.wsj.com/home-page 
bayoubear![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Looks like one pair again...DJIA closed at 10041.48, providing a poker hand from the last five digits of 0, 4, 1, 4, & 8 . . . or a pair of 4s with a 0, 1, & 8 
Suspend date: Tue 20th Oct 2009 11:55am PST
Settlement date: Tue 20th Oct 2009 1:51pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 20th Oct 2009 11:55am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
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Comments (1)
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Great job CatEd Bayoubear!
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