Who will win the 2009 World Cup of Golf?

Background: http://worldcup.pgatour.com/index.aspx
The World Cup of Golf is a 72-hole stroke play team event with each team comprising of two players. The first and third days are four-ball (best ball) play and the second and final days are foursomes play.

The 28 Nations to contest for the World Cup:
1 Spain (Sergio Garcia / Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano)
2 Sweden (Henrik Stenson / Robert Karlsson)
3 Ireland (Rory McIlroy / Graeme McDowell)
4 England (Ian Poulter / Ross Fisher)
5 Germany (Martin Kaymer / Alex Cejka)
6 South Africa (Rory Sabbatini / Richard Sterne)
7 United States (Nick Watney / John Merrick)
8 Australia (Robert Allenby / Stuart Appleby)
9 Denmark (Søren Hansen / Søren Kjeldsen)
10 India (Jeev Milkha Singh / Jyoti Randhawa)
11 Thailand (Thongchai Jaidee / Pryad Marksaeng)
12 Argentina (Tano Goya / Rafa Echenique)
13 Italy (Francesco Molinari / Edoardo Molinari)
14 Japan (Ryuji Imada /Hiroyuki Fujita)
15 France (Thomas Levet /Christian Cevaer)
16 Chinese Taipei (Lin Wen-Tang / Lu Wei-Chih)
17 New Zealand (David Smail / Danny Lee)
18 Korea (YE Yang / Charlie Wi)
19 Wales (Stephen Dodd / Jamie Donaldson)
20 Scotland (David Drysdale / Alastair Forsyth)
21 Canada (Graeme Deleat / Stuart Anderson)
22 China (Liang Wen-chong / Zhang Liang-Wei)
23 Singapore (Lam Chih Bing / Mardan Mamat)
24 Philippines ( Angelo Que / Marc Pucay)
25 Venezuela ( Jhonattan Vegas / Alfredo Adrian
26 Chile ( Martin Ureta / Hugo Leon)
27 Pakistan (Muhammad Munir / Muhammad Shabbir)
28 Brazil (Rafael Barcellos / Ronaldo Francisco)
http://worldcup.pgatour.com/28-nations-release.aspx

Multiple nations grouped in each option.
"Other" includes: India/Thailand/Singapore/Philippines/Pakistan

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Ireland/Italy

20%

Sweden/Scotland

13%

England/Wales

Spain/France

12%

Germany/Denmark

12%

Australia/New Zealand

15%

S.Africa/Argentina/Venezuela

USA/Canada/Chile/Brazil

Korea/Japan/China/Chinese Taipei

Other

Question suspends in 1 week

Activity: H$3,650
Predictions: 17
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sat 28th Nov 4:30pm PST (1 week to go)

Initial likelihoods: Ireland/Italy: 18%, Sweden/Scotland: 18%, England/Wales: 10%, Spain/France: 10%, Germany/Denmark: 10%, Australia/New Zealand: 8%, S.Africa/Argentina/Venezuela: 8%, USA/Canada/Chile/Brazil: 8%, Korea/Japan/China/Chinese Taipei: 5%, Other: 5%

Action history:

Created Wed 14th Oct 8:55pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

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