Created Sat 17th Oct 8:17am PST by

Will any Hubdubber gain 1,500,000 in Q4 2009?

Background: There are a few "rich" Hubdubbers amassing impressive amounts a bit more than 2 weeks into this quarter. Currently, 5 players have a gain >200,000 to date in this quarter and 4 of them have >250,000 gain putting them close to the pace needed to make it to 1.5mil. Last quarter only one player made >1.25 mil. Of course, there are nearly 10 more weeks to go. The question is: how many (if any) will have gained more than 1,500,000 H$ at the end of the fourth quarter of 09? The pace can change a lot from month to month, folks get busy doing "real life" things, large bets can pay off big or go belly up. Anything can happen in ten weeks. Maybe a large Christmas bonus will get some over the hump. :-)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. In case no mainstream source reports Hubdub gains, we will go with the Quarterly Gain Leaderboard using the value closest to midnight on December 31st, 2009: http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders

Forecast history %

Nobody makes a cool 1.5 million

43%

Only one quarterly 1 1/2 millionaire

51%

Two make 1.5 million bucks

Three hubdubbers manage the feat

Four get filthy rich in one quarter

Five or more boost their net worth by 1.5 million

Question suspends in 3 weeks

Activity: H$20,856
Predictions: 48
Comments: 4

Suspend date: Tue 15th Dec 12:59pm PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Nobody makes a cool 1.5 million: 50%, Only one quarterly 1 1/2 millionaire: 25%, Two make 1.5 million bucks: 10%, Three hubdubbers manage the feat: 7%, Four get filthy rich in one quarter: 5%, Five or more boost their net worth by 1.5 million: 3%

Action history:

Created Sat 17th Oct 8:17am PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

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Suspend date: Tue 15th Dec 12:59pm PST (3 weeks to go) details

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Predictions (48)

1 day ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted Only one quarterly 1 1/2 millionaire (H$800 at 51%)

6 days ago

pitchedoutsideleg Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,575,558)

predicted Only one quarterly 1 1/2 millionaire (H$500 at 36%)

6 days ago

pitchedoutsideleg Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,575,558)

predicted Only one quarterly 1 1/2 millionaire (H$500 at 30%)

6 days ago

pitchedoutsideleg Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,575,558)

predicted Nobody makes a cool 1.5 million (H$2,000 at 47%)

1 week ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted Only one quarterly 1 1/2 millionaire (H$600 at 35%)

Comments (4)

bgrigore Level 18, Megadubber (H$2,725,012)

The more people have a lot of money the more likely 1.5 million gain in one quarter is. It is not just your money but also everybody else's money. I say two or three people will gain 1.5 this quarter. It is not easy but there are at least 7 that have both the skill and the money to do it. My target for this question should be to double my money as I did in the previous quarters but I have already realised that it is impossible. There are too few good questions. So my target now is to create 300 questions this quarter.

posted 4 weeks ago

hfl13

Don´t expect me to reach 1,5m. The first month of a quarter is always my best. I was optimistic the last two quarters to reach 1m but failed both times narrowly. I expect 1,0-1,2 this quarter and hope to stay #1 quarterly.

At the moment my investments are 1,42m and I have no risks in my portfolio.

posted 3 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

hfl, I am counting on you to do 1.5 mil. You are currently well ahead of the pace to do it. I think there are 2-3 others with the tools, but a lot depends on what goes on with the economy, at least regarding my portfolio. Orlin can do it, Bogdan can. Maybe I can, but I may be too busy....

posted 3 weeks ago

hfl13

The pressure - the pressure. Everytime you expect something like this I am jinxed.

You are a bad voodoomaster ;-)

posted 3 weeks ago