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HSX: Will "Amelia" earn at least $26m in the dom box office during first 4 weeks?

Settled as No

Background: The last HSX questions of the month. The questions use the HSX estimate of future movies: http://www.hsx.com/security/feature.php?type=upcoming and the background from boxoffice mojo.

AMELIA
Release Date: 10/23/09
Final Date: 11/19/09
Distributor: Fox Searchlight
Genre: Historical Drama
Running Time: 2 hrs. 0 min.
MPAA Rating: PG
Theaters: 800
Director: Mira Nair
Actors: Hilary Swank
Ewan McGregor
Richard Gere
Virginia Madsen
Mia Wasikowska

Settlement details:http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=amelia.htm

 
Forecast history %
Yes
1%
No
99%
Settled as No on Wed 11th Nov 6:29pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 14th Nov 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 11th Nov 6:29pm PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sun 18th Oct 11:15am PST by hfl13
Settlement requested Wed 11th Nov 5:53pm PST by hfl13: From 1070 theaters the movie lost 40 Friday.

The movie is at a total $11,728,255 after 19 days and only made $1,806,626 the last weekend.

There is no way to 26m with only 9 days left. (with same results as a week before the movie only reaches 15,1m)

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=amelia.htm
Settled as 'No' Wed 11th Nov 6:29pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 14th Nov 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 11th Nov 6:29pm PST details

 

Predictions (29)

2 weeks ago
chull predicted No (H$5,000 at 96%)
2 weeks ago
philphan1 predicted No (H$50 at 95%)
3 weeks ago
uspais predicted Yes (H$400 at 22%)
4 weeks ago
lardog predicted Yes (H$500 at 50%)
4 weeks ago
rdeggau predicted No (H$300 at 50%)

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