Created Tue 20th Oct 5:37am PST by

shojun Level 13, Psychic (H$72,731)

Will it snow in Moscow this Winter?

Background: Pigs still can't fly, but this winter, the mayor of Moscow promises to keep it from snowing. For just a few million dollars, the mayor's office will hire the Russian Air Force to spray a fine chemical mist over the clouds before they reach the capital, forcing them to dump their snow outside the city. Authorities say this will be a boon for Moscow, which is typically covered with a blanket of snow from November to March. Road crews won't need to constantly clear the streets, and traffic - and quality of life - will undoubtedly improve.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Yes

95%

Question suspends in 17 weeks

Activity: H$24,715
Predictions: 16
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Sat 20th Mar 2010 3:59pm PST (17 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 90%

Action history:

Created Tue 20th Oct 5:37am PST by

shojun Level 13, Psychic (H$72,731)

hide

Suspend date: Sat 20th Mar 2010 3:59pm PST (17 weeks to go) details

Get widget!

Post on Digg Delicious Reddit Facebook

Predictions (16)

2 weeks ago

notablenotices [Power User]

predicted No (H$5 at 5%)

3 weeks ago

neopugg Level 7, Pro (H$4,343)

predicted No (H$20 at 5%)

3 weeks ago

laurenfy Level 1, Newbie (H$711)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 95%)

3 weeks ago

bernardo Level 14, Prophet (H$249,177)

predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 94%)

3 weeks ago

kennyken Level 2, Novice (H$1,087)

predicted Yes (H$50 at 93%)

Comments (1)

shojun Level 13, Psychic (H$72,731)

starting % is 90, as while it seems unlikely, for the mayor of a huge city to boldly claim this, he must at least have *some* confidence in his statements.

posted 4 weeks ago